Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Up 50%
$441.61
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 64% 293-166 (459) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $234.34 | $236.71 | +$2.37 | 58% 4784-3498 (8282) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $86.92 | — | -$86.92 | 49% 1538-1576 (3114) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $29 | $58 | +$29 | 49% 1020-1054 (2074) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $24.5 | $50 | +$25.5 | 51% 782-744 (1526) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 96.9¢ | $44.41 | $45.82 | +$1.41 | 38% 1119-1814 (2933) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $50 | — | -$26 | 51% 1762-1676 (3438) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $12 | $24 | +$12 | 47% 1726-1951 (3677) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $15.28 | $15 | -$0.28 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $4.3 | $5.12 | +$0.82 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $9.9 | $5 | -$0.15 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $4.25 | — | -$4.25 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $0.96 | $1.96 | +$1 | 51% 624-605 (1229) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.3¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 52% 2202-2016 (4218) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.1¢ | $4.25 | — | -$4.25 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
64%
293-166 (459)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Invested
$234.34
Value
$236.71
PnL
+$2.37
Record
58%
4784-3498 (8282)
Invested
$86.92
Value
—
PnL
-$86.92
Record
49%
1538-1576 (3114)
Invested
$29
Value
$58
PnL
+$29
Record
49%
1020-1054 (2074)
Invested
$24.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$25.5
Record
51%
782-744 (1526)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$44.41
Value
$45.82
PnL
+$1.41
Record
38%
1119-1814 (2933)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$50
Value
—
PnL
-$26
Record
51%
1762-1676 (3438)
Invested
$12
Value
$24
PnL
+$12
Record
47%
1726-1951 (3677)
Invested
$15.28
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.28
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5.12
PnL
+$0.82
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.15
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
Invested
$4.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.25
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Invested
$0.96
Value
$1.96
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
624-605 (1229)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
52%
2202-2016 (4218)
Invested
$4.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.25
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $236.71
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
PBot-5
Down — $58
Little-big
Down — $50
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $45.82
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $24
ply-pm2
Down — $15