Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 48%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$402.52

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 21 top traders (48%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares1,783

Combined PnL+$36.46

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,122

Combined PnL-$438.99

Down — 48%Up — 52%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$5.1	64% 293-166 (459)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$512.19	$500	+$1.8	55% 2727-2200 (4927)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.2¢	$250.9	$500	+$249.5
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.3¢	$246.42	—	-$247.7
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$154.44	$156	+$1.56	98% 2839-60 (2899)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 24.3¢	$117.75	—	-$117.75	51% 2495-2439 (4934)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 77¢	$60.9	$60	-$0.9	52% 4550-4257 (8807)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 47.7¢	$48.2	$55	+$6.8	54% 1878-1606 (3484)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 77.6¢	$46.85	$45	-$1.85	51% 1762-1676 (3438)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 55¢	$36.79	$40	+$8.69	60% 3075-2056 (5131)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 45.9¢	$73.7	—	-$65.6	49% 3898-3999 (7897)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$19.8	—	-$19.8	51% 2752-2659 (5411)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 47¢	$16	$30	+$14	47% 1726-1951 (3677)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 86.3¢	$12.16	$14.1	+$1.94	66% 2874-1453 (4327)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 82¢	$14.68	$14	-$0.55	63% 3391-2033 (5424)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$12.75	—	-$12.75	44% 1668-2150 (3818)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 52.5¢	$6.44	—	-$6.44	46% 2104-2463 (4567)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 72¢	$4.32	$6	+$1.68	38% 1119-1814 (2933)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Upavg 58¢	$2.9	—	-$2.9	72% 1328-513 (1841)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 38¢	$1.9	—	-$1.9	47% 1691-1909 (3600)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 3.1¢	$0.19	—	-$0.19	52% 2202-2016 (4218)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 50.4¢	$205.96	—	-$205.96	50% 1904-1877 (3781)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 2.9¢	$4.53	—	-$4.53	46% 1189-1389 (2578)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$1.16	—	-$1.16	49% 2006-2058 (4064)