Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
26
Down 60%
$1.3K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 26 top traders (62%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 280-155 (435) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $716.7 | +$39.95 | 51% 2709-2618 (5327) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $511.49 | — | -$502.97 | 55% 2652-2154 (4806) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 44.4¢ | $207.47 | $253.02 | +$46.9 | 49% 3855-3967 (7822) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 44.2¢ | $49.7 | $112.49 | +$62.79 | 48% 138-150 (288) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.8¢ | $68.87 | — | -$68.87 | 52% 4514-4226 (8740) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 22.4¢ | $19.64 | $72.65 | +$53.01 | 38% 480-776 (1256) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $74 | — | -$74 | 54% 1831-1588 (3419) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $43.05 | $50 | +$6.95 | 47% 1647-1881 (3528) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 67.5¢ | $21.96 | $30.51 | +$8.55 | 38% 1088-1781 (2869) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $36.41 | — | -$24.41 | 51% 1727-1644 (3371) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $16.49 | $16.66 | +$0.17 | 98% 2789-58 (2847) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $11.25 | — | -$11.25 | 72% 1307-501 (1808) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 62.7¢ | $15.55 | $11.36 | -$1.56 | 62% 3328-1998 (5326) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $10.5 | $11 | +$0.5 | 66% 2821-1429 (4250) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $9.4 | — | -$9.4 | 58% 4758-3485 (8243) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $6.85 | $8.65 | +$3.06 | 46% 1165-1368 (2533) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 48% 1655-1778 (3433) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.5¢ | $14.55 | — | -$14.55 | 44% 1633-2119 (3752) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $3.34 | — | -$3.34 | 50% 1120-1110 (2230) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 39% 1076-1670 (2746) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 49% 1967-2021 (3988) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.7¢ | $0.53 | — | -$0.53 | 52% 2155-1994 (4149) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $8.54 | — | -$5.18 | 60% 3027-2022 (5049) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.4¢ | $19.33 | — | -$19.33 | 47% 1686-1913 (3599) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
280-155 (435)
Invested
$750
Value
$716.7
PnL
+$39.95
Record
51%
2709-2618 (5327)
Invested
$511.49
Value
—
PnL
-$502.97
Record
55%
2652-2154 (4806)
Invested
$207.47
Value
$253.02
PnL
+$46.9
Record
49%
3855-3967 (7822)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.7
Value
$112.49
PnL
+$62.79
Record
48%
138-150 (288)
Invested
$68.87
Value
—
PnL
-$68.87
Record
52%
4514-4226 (8740)
Invested
$19.64
Value
$72.65
PnL
+$53.01
Record
38%
480-776 (1256)
Invested
$74
Value
—
PnL
-$74
Record
54%
1831-1588 (3419)
Invested
$43.05
Value
$50
PnL
+$6.95
Record
47%
1647-1881 (3528)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$21.96
Value
$30.51
PnL
+$8.55
Record
38%
1088-1781 (2869)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$36.41
Value
—
PnL
-$24.41
Record
51%
1727-1644 (3371)
Invested
$16.49
Value
$16.66
PnL
+$0.17
Record
98%
2789-58 (2847)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$11.25
Value
—
PnL
-$11.25
Record
72%
1307-501 (1808)
Invested
$15.55
Value
$11.36
PnL
-$1.56
Record
62%
3328-1998 (5326)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.5
Record
66%
2821-1429 (4250)
Invested
$9.4
Value
—
PnL
-$9.4
Record
58%
4758-3485 (8243)
Invested
$6.85
Value
$8.65
PnL
+$3.06
Record
46%
1165-1368 (2533)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
48%
1655-1778 (3433)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$14.55
Value
—
PnL
-$14.55
Record
44%
1633-2119 (3752)
Invested
$3.34
Value
—
PnL
-$3.34
Record
50%
1120-1110 (2230)
Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
39%
1076-1670 (2746)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
49%
1967-2021 (3988)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.53
Value
—
PnL
-$0.53
Record
52%
2155-1994 (4149)
Invested
$8.54
Value
—
PnL
-$5.18
Record
60%
3027-2022 (5049)
Invested
$19.33
Value
—
PnL
-$19.33
Record
47%
1686-1913 (3599)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $716.7
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
Up — $253.02
wowitsamazing
Up — $112.49
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
flippingsharks
Up — $72.65
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $50
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $30.51