Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 28% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
25
Down 28%
$1.5K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 25 top traders (28%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.2K | 64% 280-155 (435) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $508.8 | $494.27 | +$0.9 | 55% 2652-2154 (4806) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $414.8 | $418.99 | +$4.19 | 98% 2789-58 (2847) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 28.2¢ | $579.45 | — | -$569.85 | 50% 1861-1835 (3696) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 66.2¢ | $226.09 | $202.97 | -$23.12 | 50% 2434-2391 (4825) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 84.1¢ | $54.8 | $65.18 | +$10.38 | 44% 1633-2119 (3752) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.1¢ | $72.6 | — | -$72.6 | 49% 3855-3967 (7822) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $57.71 | $60 | +$2.29 | 54% 1831-1588 (3419) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $51.29 | $59.99 | +$8.7 | 52% 4514-4226 (8740) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 69.2¢ | $31.1 | $32.06 | +$0.96 | 66% 2821-1429 (4250) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 48.8¢ | $14.65 | $30 | +$15.35 | 47% 1686-1913 (3599) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 58.5¢ | $11.7 | $20 | +$8.3 | 47% 1647-1881 (3528) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 83.3¢ | $12.65 | $15.18 | +$2.53 | 51% 2709-2618 (5327) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $13.26 | $12 | -$0.44 | 62% 3328-1998 (5326) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 41.8¢ | $6.73 | $15 | +$8.27 | 38% 480-776 (1256) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $10.05 | $10 | -$0.05 | 64% 1988-1133 (3121) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 | 49% 1967-2021 (3988) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $8.4 | $10.37 | +$1.97 | 52% 2155-1994 (4149) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 59.2¢ | $20.65 | $8.46 | +$4.81 | 48% 1655-1778 (3433) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $6.13 | $16.13 | +$10 | 49% 1499-1549 (3048) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $8.09 | — | -$8.09 | 46% 1165-1368 (2533) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 80.7¢ | $79.32 | $3 | +$17.73 | 51% 1727-1644 (3371) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $14 | — | -$10.6 | 60% 3027-2022 (5049) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 32% 810-1702 (2512) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.2¢ | $7.7 | — | -$7.7 | 38% 1088-1781 (2869) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
64%
280-155 (435)
Invested
$508.8
Value
$494.27
PnL
+$0.9
Record
55%
2652-2154 (4806)
Invested
$414.8
Value
$418.99
PnL
+$4.19
Record
98%
2789-58 (2847)
Invested
$579.45
Value
—
PnL
-$569.85
Record
50%
1861-1835 (3696)
Invested
$226.09
Value
$202.97
PnL
-$23.12
Record
50%
2434-2391 (4825)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$54.8
Value
$65.18
PnL
+$10.38
Record
44%
1633-2119 (3752)
Invested
$72.6
Value
—
PnL
-$72.6
Record
49%
3855-3967 (7822)
Invested
$57.71
Value
$60
PnL
+$2.29
Record
54%
1831-1588 (3419)
Invested
$51.29
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$8.7
Record
52%
4514-4226 (8740)
Invested
$31.1
Value
$32.06
PnL
+$0.96
Record
66%
2821-1429 (4250)
Invested
$14.65
Value
$30
PnL
+$15.35
Record
47%
1686-1913 (3599)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.3
Record
47%
1647-1881 (3528)
Invested
$12.65
Value
$15.18
PnL
+$2.53
Record
51%
2709-2618 (5327)
Invested
$13.26
Value
$12
PnL
-$0.44
Record
62%
3328-1998 (5326)
Invested
$6.73
Value
$15
PnL
+$8.27
Record
38%
480-776 (1256)
Invested
$10.05
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.05
Record
64%
1988-1133 (3121)
Invested
$10
Value
$10
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
1967-2021 (3988)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
$10.37
PnL
+$1.97
Record
52%
2155-1994 (4149)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.65
Value
$8.46
PnL
+$4.81
Record
48%
1655-1778 (3433)
Invested
$6.13
Value
$16.13
PnL
+$10
Record
49%
1499-1549 (3048)
Invested
$8.09
Value
—
PnL
-$8.09
Record
46%
1165-1368 (2533)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$79.32
Value
$3
PnL
+$17.73
Record
51%
1727-1644 (3371)
Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$10.6
Record
60%
3027-2022 (5049)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
32%
810-1702 (2512)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.7
Value
—
PnL
-$7.7
Record
38%
1088-1781 (2869)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $494.27
hoodquant
Up — $418.99
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $202.97
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $65.18
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
Up — $60
blue.birds
Up — $59.99
asdaefef
Up — $32.06