Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 50%
$1.9K
-$577.83
Smart Money Signal
10 of 20 top traders (50%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | -$9.46 | 64% 280-155 (435) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 55% 2652-2154 (4806) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $431.23 | $437 | +$5.77 | 98% 2789-58 (2847) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $80.21 | $61.65 | -$18.56 | 50% 2434-2391 (4825) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 66.9¢ | $42.51 | $54.84 | +$12.33 | 49% 3855-3967 (7822) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 48.9¢ | $102.45 | — | -$32.67 | 51% 1727-1644 (3371) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.9¢ | $32.91 | — | -$32.91 | 49% 1499-1549 (3048) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $23.4 | $29.99 | +$6.6 | 54% 1831-1588 (3419) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 55.6¢ | $18.05 | $25 | +$6.95 | 47% 1686-1913 (3599) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $19.43 | $22.47 | +$3.04 | 52% 4514-4226 (8740) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $11.34 | $12 | +$0.66 | 39% 1076-1670 (2746) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.55 | $5.06 | +$0.51 | 66% 2821-1429 (4250) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 46% 1165-1368 (2533) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.8¢ | $11.04 | — | -$11.04 | 50% 1120-1110 (2230) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $5.45 | $5 | +$1.65 | 62% 3328-1998 (5326) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 32% 810-1702 (2512) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 38% 1088-1781 (2869) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 52% 2155-1994 (4149) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 38% 1115-1807 (2922) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $5.21 | — | -$5.21 | 51% 2709-2618 (5327) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$9.46
Record
64%
280-155 (435)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
55%
2652-2154 (4806)
Invested
$431.23
Value
$437
PnL
+$5.77
Record
98%
2789-58 (2847)
Invested
$80.21
Value
$61.65
PnL
-$18.56
Record
50%
2434-2391 (4825)
Invested
$42.51
Value
$54.84
PnL
+$12.33
Record
49%
3855-3967 (7822)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$102.45
Value
—
PnL
-$32.67
Record
51%
1727-1644 (3371)
Invested
$32.91
Value
—
PnL
-$32.91
Record
49%
1499-1549 (3048)
Invested
$23.4
Value
$29.99
PnL
+$6.6
Record
54%
1831-1588 (3419)
Invested
$18.05
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.95
Record
47%
1686-1913 (3599)
Invested
$19.43
Value
$22.47
PnL
+$3.04
Record
52%
4514-4226 (8740)
Invested
$11.34
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.66
Record
39%
1076-1670 (2746)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.51
Record
66%
2821-1429 (4250)
Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
46%
1165-1368 (2533)
Invested
$11.04
Value
—
PnL
-$11.04
Record
50%
1120-1110 (2230)
Invested
$5.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.65
Record
62%
3328-1998 (5326)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
32%
810-1702 (2512)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
38%
1088-1781 (2869)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
52%
2155-1994 (4149)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
38%
1115-1807 (2922)
Invested
$5.21
Value
—
PnL
-$5.21
Record
51%
2709-2618 (5327)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.3K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $437
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $61.65
asdcaxz
Down — $54.84
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $29.99
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $25
blue.birds
Down — $22.47