Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 90%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.5K

Combined PnL

-$178.38

Smart Money Signal

26 of 29 top traders (90%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up26 traders

Total Value$4.0K

Total Shares4,033

Combined PnL+$225.87

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,486

Combined PnL-$404.25

Up — 90%Down — 10%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.3K	+$12.5	64% 280-155 (435)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50.2¢	$753.7	$755	+$7.71	51% 2709-2618 (5327)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.4¢	$508.22	$500.01	+$6.79	55% 2652-2154 (4806)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.4¢	$252.16	$500.01	+$252.1
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.1¢	$241.2	—	-$245.31
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$454.61	$459.2	+$4.59	98% 2789-58 (2847)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 87.7¢	$391.58	$446.62	+$55.04	39% 1076-1670 (2746)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 74.9¢	$232.47	$257.5	+$25.03	50% 2434-2391 (4825)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 94.1¢	$95.58	$100	+$5.42	51% 1727-1644 (3371)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 43.8¢	$137.61	—	-$137.61	49% 1499-1549 (3048)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 94.9¢	$90.85	$94.3	+$3.45	32% 810-1702 (2512)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 92.5¢	$68.44	$74	+$5.56	38% 1088-1781 (2869)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 72.3¢	$61.94	$65.99	+$4.05	54% 1831-1588 (3419)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 79.9¢	$59.9	$75	+$15.1	47% 1686-1913 (3599)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 79¢	$52.22	$66.1	+$13.88	49% 1074-1128 (2202)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 67¢	$32.83	$49	+$16.17	49% 993-1031 (2024)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 72.1¢	$59.25	$42.33	+$12.22	49% 3855-3967 (7822)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 84.7¢	$44.6	$48.43	+$7.62	60% 3027-2022 (5049)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 92.7¢	$34.15	$33.31	-$0.84	49% 1967-2021 (3988)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Upavg 60¢	$19.2	$32	+$12.8	58% 4758-3485 (8243)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 82¢	$24.6	$30	+$5.4	47% 1647-1881 (3528)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 73¢	$21.46	$29.4	+$7.94	38% 480-776 (1256)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 71¢	$20.55	$27.34	+$6.79	52% 4514-4226 (8740)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 93.4¢	$17.19	$18	+$0.81	52% 2155-1994 (4149)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 82¢	$31.95	$16	+$0.65	62% 3328-1998 (5326)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 77.5¢	$7.75	$10	+$2.25	72% 1307-501 (1808)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 82¢	$8.2	$10	+$1.8	44% 1633-2119 (3752)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$12.5

Record

64%

280-155 (435)

soswald1

Invested

$753.7

Value

$755

PnL

+$7.71

Record

51%

2709-2618 (5327)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$508.22

Value

$500.01

PnL

+$6.79

Record

55%

2652-2154 (4806)

Both legs:

Up$252.1650.4¢+$252.1

Down$241.249.1¢-$245.31

hoodquant

Invested

$454.61

Value

$459.2

PnL

+$4.59

Record

98%

2789-58 (2847)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$391.58

Value

$446.62

PnL

+$55.04

Record

39%

1076-1670 (2746)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$232.47

Value

$257.5

PnL

+$25.03

Record

50%

2434-2391 (4825)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$95.58

Value

$100

PnL

+$5.42

Record

51%

1727-1644 (3371)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$137.61

Value

—

PnL

-$137.61

Record

49%

1499-1549 (3048)

pspspsps5<$100

Invested

$90.85

Value

$94.3

PnL

+$3.45

Record

32%

810-1702 (2512)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$68.44

Value

$74

PnL

+$5.56

Record

38%

1088-1781 (2869)

ply-pm2<$100

Invested

$61.94

Value

$65.99

PnL

+$4.05

Record

54%

1831-1588 (3419)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$59.9

Value

$75

PnL

+$15.1

Record

47%

1686-1913 (3599)

mo-money<$100

Invested

$52.22

Value

$66.1

PnL

+$13.88

Record

49%

1074-1128 (2202)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$32.83

Value

$49

PnL

+$16.17

Record

49%

993-1031 (2024)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$59.25

Value

$42.33

PnL

+$12.22

Record

49%

3855-3967 (7822)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$44.6

Value

$48.43

PnL

+$7.62

Record

60%

3027-2022 (5049)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$34.15

Value

$33.31

PnL

-$0.84

Record

49%

1967-2021 (3988)

Hcrystallash<$100

Invested

$19.2

Value

$32

PnL

+$12.8

Record

58%

4758-3485 (8243)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$24.6

Value

$30

PnL

+$5.4

Record

47%

1647-1881 (3528)

flippingsharks<$100

Invested

$21.46

Value

$29.4

PnL

+$7.94

Record

38%

480-776 (1256)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$20.55

Value

$27.34

PnL

+$6.79

Record

52%

4514-4226 (8740)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$17.19

Value

$18

PnL

+$0.81

Record

52%

2155-1994 (4149)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$31.95

Value

$16

PnL

+$0.65

Record

62%

3328-1998 (5326)

BoneOhio<$100

Invested

$7.75

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.25

Record

72%

1307-501 (1808)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$8.2

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.8

Record

44%

1633-2119 (3752)

Smart Money Signal

26 of 29 top traders (90%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xaffbc1c2...a83070

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794585000

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Up — $1.3K

+$12.5

soswald1

Up — $755

+$7.71

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$6.79

hoodquant

Up — $459.2

+$4.59

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $446.62

+$55.04

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $257.5

+$25.03

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $100

+$5.42

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$137.61

pspspsps5

Up — $94.3

+$3.45

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $74

+$5.56

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