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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 37% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

19

Down 37%

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 19 top traders (37%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$2.4K

Total Shares2,406

Combined PnL+$110.73

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,450

Combined PnL$-1.3K

Down — 37%Up — 63%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	-$0.6	64% 171-96 (267)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$750	$735	+$30.02	51% 2358-2296 (4654)
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2475-1962 (4437)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 65.5¢	$78.99	$89.13	+$11.19	52% 4244-3980 (8224)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 71.1¢	$115.33	—	-$115.33	50% 2044-2046 (4090)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 18.7¢	$14.59	$78	+$63.41	51% 1529-1484 (3013)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 99¢	$109.89	$111	+$1.11	48% 1282-1374 (2656)
AS asdcaxzCTR	Upavg 66.6¢	$131.05	—	-$126.8	49% 3598-3709 (7307)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 76.8¢	$14	—	-$14	46% 1805-2097 (3902)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 72¢	$7.62	—	-$7.62	47% 1032-1185 (2217)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 68.1¢	$6.85	$10.05	+$3.2	62% 2900-1741 (4641)
LI Little-big<$100	Downavg 52¢	$2.6	$5	+$2.4	52% 691-631 (1322)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 27.3¢	$4.1	—	-$4.1	52% 1513-1391 (2904)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 82¢	$8.2	—	-$8.2	52% 1883-1755 (3638)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 60¢	$3.6	—	-$3.6	38% 813-1313 (2126)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 76¢	$3.85	—	-$3.85	66% 2455-1255 (3710)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 86¢	$4.3	—	-$4.3	39% 945-1492 (2437)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	49% 1687-1773 (3460)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$0.6

Record

64%

171-96 (267)

Invested

$750

Value

$735

PnL

+$30.02

Record

51%

2358-2296 (4654)

QuantumPebble673CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

—

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$78.99

Value

$89.13

PnL

+$11.19

Record

52%

4244-3980 (8224)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$115.33

Value

—

PnL

-$115.33

Record

50%

2044-2046 (4090)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$14.59

Value

$78

PnL

+$63.41

Record

51%

1529-1484 (3013)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$109.89

Value

$111

PnL

+$1.11

Record

48%

1282-1374 (2656)

Invested

$131.05

Value

—

PnL

-$126.8

Record

49%

3598-3709 (7307)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$14

Value

—

PnL

-$14

Record

46%

1805-2097 (3902)

rabadabadooCTR<$100

Invested

$7.62

Value

—

PnL

-$7.62

Record

47%

1032-1185 (2217)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$6.85

Value

$10.05

PnL

+$3.2

Record

62%

2900-1741 (4641)

Little-big<$100

Invested

$2.6

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.4

Record

52%

691-631 (1322)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$4.1

Value

—

PnL

-$4.1

Record

52%

1513-1391 (2904)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$8.2

Value

—

PnL

-$8.2

Record

52%

1883-1755 (3638)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3.6

Value

—

PnL

-$3.6

Record

38%

813-1313 (2126)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

—

PnL

-$3.85

Record

66%

2455-1255 (3710)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.3

Value

—

PnL

-$4.3

Record

39%

945-1492 (2437)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

49%

1687-1773 (3460)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 19 top traders (37%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3fef521e...b1540a

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794533700

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Down — $1.4K

soswald1

Down — $735

QuantumPebble673

Up — $0

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

blue.birds

Down — $89.13

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $78

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $111

asdcaxz

Up — $0

suntori

Up — $0

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