Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 61%

Total Value

$2.9K

Combined PnL

-$134.82

Smart Money Signal

Down

14 of 23 top traders (61%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down14 traders

Total Value$2.9K

Total Shares2,920

Combined PnL+$9.78

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares626

Combined PnL-$144.6

Down — 61%Up — 39%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$0.45	64% 155-88 (243)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2475-1962 (4437)
QU QuantumPebble673	Downavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$264.74	$265	+$0.26	49% 949-993 (1942)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 67.9¢	$49.3	$37.29	-$0.76	49% 3564-3672 (7236)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 81.7¢	$38.25	$45	+$6.75	51% 2307-2260 (4567)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 81¢	$75.82	$33	-$1.41	52% 1478-1365 (2843)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 98¢	$23.52	$24	+$0.48	33% 699-1410 (2109)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$8.18	—	-$8.18	48% 1267-1365 (2632)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 29.5¢	$8.45	—	-$8.45	46% 1005-1165 (2170)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 89.9¢	$7.19	$8	+$0.81	52% 1846-1725 (3571)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 33¢	$9.9	—	-$9.9	47% 1444-1636 (3080)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 80¢	$6.8	$8.5	+$1.7	66% 2417-1229 (3646)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	98% 2447-49 (2496)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 91¢	$9.1	$5	+$0.05	63% 2841-1704 (4545)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 81¢	$4.25	$5.25	+$1	63% 1696-991 (2687)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$5.19	—	-$5.19	52% 4209-3942 (8151)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 88¢	$2.93	$3.33	+$0.4	60% 2584-1729 (4313)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 26.8¢	$2.27	—	-$2.27	38% 771-1268 (2039)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 36¢	$1.86	—	-$1.86	46% 1757-2031 (3788)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 22.6¢	$104	—	-$104	51% 1497-1460 (2957)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.55	—	-$0.55	39% 920-1454 (2374)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 28¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2	44% 1391-1787 (3178)