Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 70%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 23 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 64% 155-88 (243) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $699 | +$5 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $87.01 | $96.98 | +$9.97 | 52% 4209-3942 (8151) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 71.7¢ | $108.25 | $82.99 | -$25.26 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.7¢ | $48.75 | — | -$48.75 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 71.7¢ | $59.51 | $82.99 | +$23.49 | |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.3¢ | $56.94 | — | -$47.15 | 46% 1005-1165 (2170) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 87.6¢ | $45 | $47.35 | +$2.47 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 72.3¢ | $31.37 | $43.4 | +$12.03 | 48% 1394-1530 (2924) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $53.71 | $31.25 | +$7.14 | 52% 1478-1365 (2843) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 45.8¢ | $11.45 | $25 | +$13.55 | 47% 1444-1636 (3080) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 72.6¢ | $22.2 | $25 | +$2.8 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $18.7 | $20.33 | +$1.63 | 47% 995-1129 (2124) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 | 98% 2447-49 (2496) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.7¢ | $17.03 | $15.79 | -$1.24 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $14.1 | $20 | +$5.9 | 46% 1383-1602 (2985) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $12.46 | $15 | +$2.54 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 81.5¢ | $11.13 | $11.88 | +$0.83 | 63% 1696-991 (2687) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $12.63 | $7 | -$2.16 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $4.16 | — | -$4.16 | 33% 699-1410 (2109) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 52% 678-618 (1296) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 23¢ | $103.56 | — | -$103.56 | 51% 1497-1460 (2957) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.1¢ | $3.14 | — | -$3.14 | 39% 920-1454 (2374) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $4.44 | — | -$2.1 | 38% 771-1268 (2039) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
64%
155-88 (243)
Invested
$750
Value
$699
PnL
+$5
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$87.01
Value
$96.98
PnL
+$9.97
Record
52%
4209-3942 (8151)
Invested
$108.25
Value
$82.99
PnL
-$25.26
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
Both legs:
Invested
$56.94
Value
—
PnL
-$47.15
Record
46%
1005-1165 (2170)
Invested
$45
Value
$47.35
PnL
+$2.47
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
ohioism<$100Invested
$31.37
Value
$43.4
PnL
+$12.03
Record
48%
1394-1530 (2924)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$53.71
Value
$31.25
PnL
+$7.14
Record
52%
1478-1365 (2843)
Invested
$11.45
Value
$25
PnL
+$13.55
Record
47%
1444-1636 (3080)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.2
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.8
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.7
Value
$20.33
PnL
+$1.63
Record
47%
995-1129 (2124)
Invested
$19
Value
$20
PnL
+$1
Record
98%
2447-49 (2496)
Invested
$17.03
Value
$15.79
PnL
-$1.24
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
Invested
$14.1
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.9
Record
46%
1383-1602 (2985)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.46
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.54
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$11.13
Value
$11.88
PnL
+$0.83
Record
63%
1696-991 (2687)
Invested
$12.63
Value
$7
PnL
-$2.16
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.16
Value
—
PnL
-$4.16
Record
33%
699-1410 (2109)
Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
52%
678-618 (1296)
Invested
$103.56
Value
—
PnL
-$103.56
Record
51%
1497-1460 (2957)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.14
Value
—
PnL
-$3.14
Record
39%
920-1454 (2374)
Invested
$4.44
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
38%
771-1268 (2039)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $699
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
blue.birds
Up — $96.98
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $47.35
ohioism
Up — $43.4
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $31.25