Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 68%
$1.5K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$5.41 | 64% 155-88 (243) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$750 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.6¢ | $35.15 | — | -$20.6 | 52% 1478-1365 (2843) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $13.8 | $15 | +$1.2 | 73% 1126-414 (1540) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $11.91 | $13.24 | +$1.33 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $11.45 | — | -$11.45 | 48% 2366-2611 (4977) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.6¢ | $13.35 | — | -$13.35 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 63% 1696-991 (2687) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 58% 4631-3405 (8036) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.9¢ | $2.57 | — | -$2.57 | 39% 920-1454 (2374) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.34 | — | -$1.34 | 33% 699-1410 (2109) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 38% 771-1268 (2039) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $6.9 | — | -$6.9 | 46% 1383-1602 (2985) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.8¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 47% 1444-1636 (3080) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$5.41
Record
64%
155-88 (243)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$750
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$35.15
Value
—
PnL
-$20.6
Record
52%
1478-1365 (2843)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.8
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.2
Record
73%
1126-414 (1540)
Invested
$11.91
Value
$13.24
PnL
+$1.33
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
Invested
$11.45
Value
—
PnL
-$11.45
Record
48%
2366-2611 (4977)
Invested
$13.35
Value
—
PnL
-$13.35
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
63%
1696-991 (2687)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
58%
4631-3405 (8036)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.57
Value
—
PnL
-$2.57
Record
39%
920-1454 (2374)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.34
Value
—
PnL
-$1.34
Record
33%
699-1410 (2109)
Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
38%
771-1268 (2039)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$6.9
Value
—
PnL
-$6.9
Record
46%
1383-1602 (2985)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
47%
1444-1636 (3080)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
BoneOhio
Down — $15
asdaefef
Down — $13.24
38791873984189
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $5