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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Up 47%

Total Value

$174.94

Combined PnL

$-2.5K

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 15 top traders (47%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,548
Combined PnL$-2.5K
Down8 traders
Total Value$174.94
Total Shares175
Combined PnL-$13.98
Up — 47%Down — 53%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

64%

155-88 (243)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

QU
QuantumPebble673CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

—

AS
asdcaxz
Down

Invested

$114.25

Value

$66.49

PnL

-$24.95

Record

49%

3564-3672 (7236)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$42.95

Value

$42.99

PnL

+$0.04

Record

49%

949-993 (1942)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$25.42

Value

$24.59

PnL

-$0.34

Record

39%

920-1454 (2374)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$13.01

Value

$20.71

PnL

+$7.7

Record

52%

1478-1365 (2843)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$8.56

Value

$9.01

PnL

+$0.45

Record

60%

2584-1729 (4313)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.8

Value

—

PnL

-$5.8

Record

51%

2307-2260 (4567)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$4.15

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.85

Record

63%

2841-1704 (4545)

HC
Hcrystallash<$100
Down

Invested

$2.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.25

Record

58%

4631-3405 (8036)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.84

Value

—

PnL

-$1.84

Record

52%

4209-3942 (8151)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$1.14

Value

$1.15

PnL

+$0.01

Record

73%

1126-414 (1540)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.58

Value

—

PnL

-$0.58

Record

33%

699-1410 (2109)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.46

Value

—

PnL

-$5.46

Record

46%

1005-1165 (2170)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xff1181ea...7f30ce
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794528300

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

CTR

Up — $0

$-1.5K
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
QU

QuantumPebble673

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $66.49

-$24.95
0X

0x50f7

Down — $42.99

+$0.04

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $24.59

-$0.34

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $20.71

+$7.7
AA

aaa221

Down — $9.01

+$0.45
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.8
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5

+$0.85
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