Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 77%
2 arb excluded
$2.6K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 22 top traders (77%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 155-88 (243) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $742.1 | +$68.33 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $310.5 | — | -$303.72 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $371.05 | $742.1 | +$372.05 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 98.4¢ | $307.8 | $312.81 | +$5.01 | 73% 1126-414 (1540) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.3¢ | $78.15 | — | -$78.15 | 46% 1005-1165 (2170) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 37.1¢ | $79.85 | $144.54 | +$64.68 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 37.1¢ | $53.55 | $144.54 | +$90.98 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 47.8¢ | $26.3 | — | -$26.3 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 61.9¢ | $43.17 | $69.75 | +$26.58 | 48% 1267-1365 (2632) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 69.6¢ | $58.56 | $50.33 | -$2.91 | 52% 4209-3942 (8151) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $35.77 | $36.51 | +$0.73 | 98% 2447-49 (2496) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 45.8¢ | $28.69 | $48.87 | +$20.17 | 48% 1394-1530 (2924) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $29.9 | — | -$29.9 | 47% 1444-1636 (3080) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.8¢ | $97.77 | — | +$19.41 | 52% 1478-1365 (2843) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 59.2¢ | $9.4 | $15.87 | +$6.47 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 46.7¢ | $5.2 | $11.14 | +$5.94 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 37.9¢ | $13.25 | $35 | +$21.75 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $8.75 | $25 | +$16.25 | 46% 1383-1602 (2985) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 39.8¢ | $9.96 | $12.22 | +$7.93 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $9.8 | $20 | +$10.2 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 58% 4631-3405 (8036) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $10 | +$5.1 | 48% 818-882 (1700) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $2.07 | $5.6 | +$3.53 | 33% 699-1410 (2109) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.44 | $8 | +$6.56 | 39% 920-1454 (2374) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $10.15 | — | -$10.15 | 23% 81-267 (348) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
155-88 (243)
Invested
$750
Value
$742.1
PnL
+$68.33
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
BoneOhioInvested
$307.8
Value
$312.81
PnL
+$5.01
Record
73%
1126-414 (1540)
Invested
$78.15
Value
—
PnL
-$78.15
Record
46%
1005-1165 (2170)
Invested
$79.85
Value
$144.54
PnL
+$64.68
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
Both legs:
Invested
$43.17
Value
$69.75
PnL
+$26.58
Record
48%
1267-1365 (2632)
Invested
$58.56
Value
$50.33
PnL
-$2.91
Record
52%
4209-3942 (8151)
Invested
$35.77
Value
$36.51
PnL
+$0.73
Record
98%
2447-49 (2496)
ohioism<$100Invested
$28.69
Value
$48.87
PnL
+$20.17
Record
48%
1394-1530 (2924)
Invested
$29.9
Value
—
PnL
-$29.9
Record
47%
1444-1636 (3080)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$97.77
Value
—
PnL
+$19.41
Record
52%
1478-1365 (2843)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$15.87
PnL
+$6.47
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
Invested
$5.2
Value
$11.14
PnL
+$5.94
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$13.25
Value
$35
PnL
+$21.75
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$8.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$16.25
Record
46%
1383-1602 (2985)
Invested
$9.96
Value
$12.22
PnL
+$7.93
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.2
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
58%
4631-3405 (8036)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.1
Record
48%
818-882 (1700)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$2.07
Value
$5.6
PnL
+$3.53
Record
33%
699-1410 (2109)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
$8
PnL
+$6.56
Record
39%
920-1454 (2374)
Invested
$10.15
Value
—
PnL
-$10.15
Record
23%
81-267 (348)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
BoneOhio
Up — $312.81
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $69.75
blue.birds
Up — $50.33
hoodquant
Up — $36.51