Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 58%
$210.21
$-2.5K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 64% 155-88 (243) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $35.7 | $45 | +$12.6 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $31.06 | $40.1 | +$9.03 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $26.2 | $30.41 | +$4.21 | 52% 4209-3942 (8151) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 42.9¢ | $20.31 | $29.49 | +$12.96 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $29.15 | $30 | +$0.85 | 46% 1383-1602 (2985) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $27.74 | $14.65 | -$3.54 | 52% 1478-1365 (2843) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $15.72 | — | -$15.72 | 58% 4631-3405 (8036) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.7¢ | $21.06 | — | -$16.54 | 46% 1005-1165 (2170) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $13.65 | $15 | +$1.35 | 73% 1126-414 (1540) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $10.2 | — | -$10.2 | 48% 1394-1530 (2924) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $2.45 | $5.57 | +$3.12 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 47% 1444-1636 (3080) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 33% 699-1410 (2109) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $2.06 | — | -$2.06 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.4¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 39% 920-1454 (2374) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
64%
155-88 (243)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$35.7
Value
$45
PnL
+$12.6
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$31.06
Value
$40.1
PnL
+$9.03
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
Invested
$26.2
Value
$30.41
PnL
+$4.21
Record
52%
4209-3942 (8151)
Invested
$20.31
Value
$29.49
PnL
+$12.96
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
Invested
$29.15
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.85
Record
46%
1383-1602 (2985)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$27.74
Value
$14.65
PnL
-$3.54
Record
52%
1478-1365 (2843)
Invested
$15.72
Value
—
PnL
-$15.72
Record
58%
4631-3405 (8036)
Invested
$21.06
Value
—
PnL
-$16.54
Record
46%
1005-1165 (2170)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
73%
1126-414 (1540)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
48%
1394-1530 (2924)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5.57
PnL
+$3.12
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
47%
1444-1636 (3080)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
33%
699-1410 (2109)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.06
Value
—
PnL
-$2.06
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
39%
920-1454 (2374)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $45
aaa221
Down — $40.1
blue.birds
Down — $30.41
soswald1
Down — $29.49
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $30
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $14.65
Hcrystallash
CTRUp — $0