Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 39% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 39%
1 arb excluded
$1.6K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 18 top traders (39%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 63% 146-84 (230) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $342.55 | $346.01 | +$3.46 | 98% 2427-48 (2475) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $99.47 | — | -$91.37 | 49% 3543-3653 (7196) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $70.97 | $109.85 | +$44.58 | 51% 2285-2228 (4513) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 57.3¢ | $163.9 | — | -$160.6 | 50% 1465-1436 (2901) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.6¢ | $66.04 | — | -$66.04 | 52% 4183-3927 (8110) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.9¢ | $53.55 | — | -$53.55 | 52% 1462-1348 (2810) |
RA rabadabadooARB<$100 | Upavg 41.3¢ | $39.92 | $51.21 | +$11.29 | 47% 997-1147 (2144) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.3¢ | $21.15 | $51.21 | +$30.06 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.6¢ | $18.77 | — | -$18.77 | |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $14 | — | -$14 | 44% 1381-1765 (3146) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 53.3¢ | $14.91 | $28 | +$13.09 | 58% 4625-3399 (8024) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $12.69 | — | -$12.69 | 60% 2556-1710 (4266) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.8¢ | $19.51 | — | -$19.51 | 52% 1825-1704 (3529) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $10.2 | $15 | +$4.8 | 73% 1122-407 (1529) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 48% 1377-1513 (2890) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $3.8 | $5 | +$1.2 | 62% 2807-1686 (4493) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 47% 1428-1621 (3049) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 48% 1620-1725 (3345) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
63%
146-84 (230)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$342.55
Value
$346.01
PnL
+$3.46
Record
98%
2427-48 (2475)
Invested
$99.47
Value
—
PnL
-$91.37
Record
49%
3543-3653 (7196)
Invested
$70.97
Value
$109.85
PnL
+$44.58
Record
51%
2285-2228 (4513)
Invested
$163.9
Value
—
PnL
-$160.6
Record
50%
1465-1436 (2901)
Invested
$66.04
Value
—
PnL
-$66.04
Record
52%
4183-3927 (8110)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$53.55
Value
—
PnL
-$53.55
Record
52%
1462-1348 (2810)
Invested
$39.92
Value
$51.21
PnL
+$11.29
Record
47%
997-1147 (2144)
Both legs:
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$14
Record
44%
1381-1765 (3146)
Invested
$14.91
Value
$28
PnL
+$13.09
Record
58%
4625-3399 (8024)
Invested
$12.69
Value
—
PnL
-$12.69
Record
60%
2556-1710 (4266)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$19.51
Value
—
PnL
-$19.51
Record
52%
1825-1704 (3529)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.8
Record
73%
1122-407 (1529)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
48%
1377-1513 (2890)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.2
Record
62%
2807-1686 (4493)
Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
47%
1428-1621 (3049)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
48%
1620-1725 (3345)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $346.01
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $109.85
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
rabadabadoo
ARBArbitrage — excluded