Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 65%
$1.8K
-$999.55
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$0.67 | 63% 146-84 (230) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 69.6¢ | $74.2 | $85 | +$14.55 | 52% 1462-1348 (2810) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $44.13 | $44.58 | +$0.45 | 49% 939-988 (1927) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $42.68 | $44 | +$1.32 | 39% 906-1439 (2345) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $32.31 | $50.25 | +$17.94 | 58% 4625-3399 (8024) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $22.77 | $23 | +$0.23 | 98% 2427-48 (2475) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $13.9 | $15 | +$1.1 | 51% 2285-2228 (4513) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $13.86 | $14 | +$0.14 | 48% 1620-1725 (3345) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $9.06 | $11 | +$1.94 | 66% 2393-1213 (3606) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 63% 1680-978 (2658) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.94 | $6 | +$3.06 | 38% 748-1242 (1990) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 52% 4183-3927 (8110) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.7¢ | $40.66 | — | -$40.66 | 49% 3543-3653 (7196) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.3¢ | $7.24 | — | -$7.24 | 47% 997-1147 (2144) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 73.3¢ | $32.69 | $0 | +$11.45 | 47% 1724-1982 (3706) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 62% 2807-1686 (4493) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$0.67
Record
63%
146-84 (230)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$74.2
Value
$85
PnL
+$14.55
Record
52%
1462-1348 (2810)
Invested
$44.13
Value
$44.58
PnL
+$0.45
Record
49%
939-988 (1927)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$42.68
Value
$44
PnL
+$1.32
Record
39%
906-1439 (2345)
Invested
$32.31
Value
$50.25
PnL
+$17.94
Record
58%
4625-3399 (8024)
Invested
$22.77
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.23
Record
98%
2427-48 (2475)
Invested
$13.9
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.1
Record
51%
2285-2228 (4513)
Invested
$13.86
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.14
Record
48%
1620-1725 (3345)
Invested
$9.06
Value
$11
PnL
+$1.94
Record
66%
2393-1213 (3606)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
63%
1680-978 (2658)
Invested
$2.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.06
Record
38%
748-1242 (1990)
Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
52%
4183-3927 (8110)
Invested
$40.66
Value
—
PnL
-$40.66
Record
49%
3543-3653 (7196)
Invested
$7.24
Value
—
PnL
-$7.24
Record
47%
997-1147 (2144)
Invested
$32.69
Value
$0
PnL
+$11.45
Record
47%
1724-1982 (3706)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
62%
2807-1686 (4493)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $85
0x50f7
Down — $44.58
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $44
Hcrystallash
Down — $50.25
hoodquant
Down — $23
soswald1
Down — $15
dvasdkasodk
Down — $14