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DownUpUpUpUp
MayorMamdani<$100UpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$3.3K
Combined PnL
-$0.65
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$1.9K
Total Shares1,873
Combined PnL+$2.1
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares138
Combined PnL-$2.75
Up — 83%Down — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$12.58 | 63% 146-84 (230) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $704.67 | $1.4K | +$736.14 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $718 | — | -$748.72 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $750 | +$0 | 51% 2285-2228 (4513) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $109.89 | $111 | +$1.11 | 98% 2427-48 (2475) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 91.8¢ | $11.01 | $12 | +$0.99 | 52% 1825-1704 (3529) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 47% 997-1147 (2144) |
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$12.58
Record
63%
146-84 (230)
Both legs:
Up$704.6750¢+$736.14
Down$71850¢-$748.72
SO
soswald1Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
2285-2228 (4513)
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
QU
QuantumPebble673Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
HO
hoodquantInvested
$109.89
Value
$111
PnL
+$1.11
Record
98%
2427-48 (2475)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.01
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.99
Record
52%
1825-1704 (3529)
RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
47%
997-1147 (2144)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaec0f6ab...7fb5c2
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794524700