Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
24
Down 33%
$1.3K
$-1.6K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 24 top traders (33%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 63% 146-84 (230) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $79 | — | -$79 | 52% 672-610 (1282) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 84.9¢ | $128.43 | $78.65 | +$0.81 | 52% 1462-1348 (2810) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 93.4¢ | $72.57 | $69.54 | -$1.83 | 49% 3543-3653 (7196) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $46.28 | — | -$46.28 | 58% 4625-3399 (8024) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 78.3¢ | $30.91 | $27.77 | -$3.14 | 51% 2285-2228 (4513) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 69.1¢ | $21.16 | $30.64 | +$9.48 | 44% 1381-1765 (3146) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $18.08 | — | -$18.08 | 54% 1694-1445 (3139) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 93.8¢ | $18.75 | $20 | +$1.25 | 62% 2807-1686 (4493) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $16.45 | $16.06 | -$0.39 | 66% 2393-1213 (3606) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $15.4 | $16.06 | +$0.66 | 47% 997-1147 (2144) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $9.65 | $10 | +$0.35 | 52% 1825-1704 (3529) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $8.5 | $10 | +$1.5 | 47% 1428-1621 (3049) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 48% 1377-1513 (2890) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 33% 691-1396 (2087) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $6.93 | $7.45 | +$0.52 | 48% 1620-1725 (3345) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $4.84 | $5 | +$0.16 | 39% 906-1439 (2345) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $5.97 | $5.16 | -$0.81 | 63% 1680-978 (2658) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $4.8 | $6 | +$1.2 | 52% 4183-3927 (8110) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.9¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 73% 1122-407 (1529) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $2.2 | $5 | +$2.8 | 46% 1368-1585 (2953) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 938-1558 (2496) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
63%
146-84 (230)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$79
Value
—
PnL
-$79
Record
52%
672-610 (1282)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$128.43
Value
$78.65
PnL
+$0.81
Record
52%
1462-1348 (2810)
Invested
$72.57
Value
$69.54
PnL
-$1.83
Record
49%
3543-3653 (7196)
Invested
$46.28
Value
—
PnL
-$46.28
Record
58%
4625-3399 (8024)
Invested
$30.91
Value
$27.77
PnL
-$3.14
Record
51%
2285-2228 (4513)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$21.16
Value
$30.64
PnL
+$9.48
Record
44%
1381-1765 (3146)
Invested
$18.08
Value
—
PnL
-$18.08
Record
54%
1694-1445 (3139)
Invested
$18.75
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.25
Record
62%
2807-1686 (4493)
Invested
$16.45
Value
$16.06
PnL
-$0.39
Record
66%
2393-1213 (3606)
Invested
$15.4
Value
$16.06
PnL
+$0.66
Record
47%
997-1147 (2144)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.65
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.35
Record
52%
1825-1704 (3529)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.5
Record
47%
1428-1621 (3049)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
48%
1377-1513 (2890)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
33%
691-1396 (2087)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7.45
PnL
+$0.52
Record
48%
1620-1725 (3345)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.84
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.16
Record
39%
906-1439 (2345)
Invested
$5.97
Value
$5.16
PnL
-$0.81
Record
63%
1680-978 (2658)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.2
Record
52%
4183-3927 (8110)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
73%
1122-407 (1529)
Invested
$2.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.8
Record
46%
1368-1585 (2953)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
938-1558 (2496)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $78.65
asdcaxz
Up — $69.54
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $27.77
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $30.64
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0