Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 70%
2 arb excluded
$3.0K
$12.27
Smart Money Signal
16 of 23 top traders (70%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$7.28 | 63% 146-84 (230) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $707 | $1.4K | +$733.02 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $708 | — | -$725.74 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 63.2¢ | $82.92 | $92.82 | +$9.9 | 49% 3543-3653 (7196) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 59.1¢ | $52.39 | $50.06 | -$2.33 | 54% 1694-1445 (3139) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 23.8¢ | $22.81 | — | -$22.81 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59.1¢ | $29.58 | $50.06 | +$20.48 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $51.85 | $77 | +$25.15 | 60% 2556-1710 (4266) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 66.2¢ | $43.14 | $65.17 | +$22.03 | 73% 1122-407 (1529) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 57.5¢ | $47.38 | $60 | +$12.62 | 52% 4183-3927 (8110) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 84.6¢ | $47.06 | $37.85 | -$9.21 | 51% 2285-2228 (4513) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 54.3¢ | $30.77 | $36.88 | +$6.11 | 47% 997-1147 (2144) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 78.9¢ | $34.22 | $34.53 | +$0.31 | 66% 2393-1213 (3606) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $16.8 | $35 | +$18.2 | 48% 810-869 (1679) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $21.75 | $15 | -$6.75 | 44% 1381-1765 (3146) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 57.1¢ | $20.22 | $13.53 | -$1.09 | 62% 2807-1686 (4493) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.8¢ | $26.32 | — | -$18.48 | 52% 1825-1704 (3529) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $7.67 | — | -$7.67 | 58% 4625-3399 (8024) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $5.32 | $9.17 | +$3.85 | 39% 906-1439 (2345) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $4.8 | $5.05 | +$0.25 | 47% 986-1111 (2097) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $9.7 | $5 | -$4.6 | 48% 1620-1725 (3345) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $2.81 | $2.87 | +$0.06 | 63% 1680-978 (2658) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 50% 487-483 (970) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 48% 1377-1513 (2890) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.6¢ | $13.53 | — | +$3.03 | 52% 1462-1348 (2810) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 938-1558 (2496) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $37.5 | — | -$37.5 | 46% 1368-1585 (2953) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$7.28
Record
63%
146-84 (230)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$82.92
Value
$92.82
PnL
+$9.9
Record
49%
3543-3653 (7196)
Invested
$52.39
Value
$50.06
PnL
-$2.33
Record
54%
1694-1445 (3139)
Both legs:
Invested
$51.85
Value
$77
PnL
+$25.15
Record
60%
2556-1710 (4266)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$43.14
Value
$65.17
PnL
+$22.03
Record
73%
1122-407 (1529)
Invested
$47.38
Value
$60
PnL
+$12.62
Record
52%
4183-3927 (8110)
Invested
$47.06
Value
$37.85
PnL
-$9.21
Record
51%
2285-2228 (4513)
Invested
$30.77
Value
$36.88
PnL
+$6.11
Record
47%
997-1147 (2144)
Invested
$34.22
Value
$34.53
PnL
+$0.31
Record
66%
2393-1213 (3606)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$35
PnL
+$18.2
Record
48%
810-869 (1679)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$21.75
Value
$15
PnL
-$6.75
Record
44%
1381-1765 (3146)
Invested
$20.22
Value
$13.53
PnL
-$1.09
Record
62%
2807-1686 (4493)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$26.32
Value
—
PnL
-$18.48
Record
52%
1825-1704 (3529)
Invested
$7.67
Value
—
PnL
-$7.67
Record
58%
4625-3399 (8024)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$5.32
Value
$9.17
PnL
+$3.85
Record
39%
906-1439 (2345)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.25
Record
47%
986-1111 (2097)
Invested
$9.7
Value
$5
PnL
-$4.6
Record
48%
1620-1725 (3345)
Invested
$2.81
Value
$2.87
PnL
+$0.06
Record
63%
1680-978 (2658)
Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
50%
487-483 (970)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
48%
1377-1513 (2890)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$13.53
Value
—
PnL
+$3.03
Record
52%
1462-1348 (2810)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
938-1558 (2496)
Invested
$37.5
Value
—
PnL
-$37.5
Record
46%
1368-1585 (2953)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
asdcaxz
Up — $92.82
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Up — $77
BoneOhio
Up — $65.17
blue.birds
Up — $60
soswald1
Up — $37.85
rabadabadoo
Up — $36.88