Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 52%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

-$904.56

Smart Money Signal

Down

11 of 21 top traders (52%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,326

Combined PnL$-1.0K

Up10 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,175

Combined PnL+$108.3

Down — 52%Up — 48%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$3.42	63% 146-84 (230)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$716.21	$1.4K	+$710.25
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$719.72	—	-$706.83
SO soswald1CTR	Downavg 50¢	$750	—	-$739.53	51% 2285-2228 (4513)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2475-1962 (4437)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 72.7¢	$51.18	—	-$51.18	60% 2556-1710 (4266)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 96¢	$32.58	—	-$32.58	39% 906-1439 (2345)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 55.5¢	$29.7	—	-$29.7	54% 1694-1445 (3139)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 21¢	$10.5	$50	+$39.5	49% 3543-3653 (7196)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 69¢	$14.55	$15.22	+$0.75	62% 2807-1686 (4493)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 22.1¢	$4.65	$21	+$16.35	52% 4183-3927 (8110)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 48.2¢	$5.75	$11.94	+$6.19	47% 997-1147 (2144)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 97.5¢	$15.62	$11	-$4.62	48% 1620-1725 (3345)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 97.6¢	$9.33	$9.57	+$0.23	98% 2427-48 (2475)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 89.5¢	$11.95	—	-$11.95	52% 1825-1704 (3529)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$5.85	—	-$5.85	52% 1462-1348 (2810)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.9	—	-$4.9	63% 1680-978 (2658)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 8¢	$4	$50	+$46	73% 1122-407 (1529)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 79¢	$5.74	—	-$5.74	66% 2393-1213 (3606)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 35¢	$2.1	$6	+$3.9	38% 748-1242 (1990)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 2.1¢	$3.51	—	-$3.51	44% 1381-1765 (3146)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.51	—	-$0.51	48% 1377-1513 (2890)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Downavg 78.2¢	$127.4	—	-$127.4	50% 1465-1436 (2901)