Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 58%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.9K

Combined PnL

$8.33

Smart Money Signal

11 of 19 top traders (58%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$592.47

Total Shares592

Combined PnL+$51.77

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares342

Combined PnL-$43.44

Up — 58%Down — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$4.02	63% 146-84 (230)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$729.38	$1.5K	+$728.75
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$732.2	—	-$724.73
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$750	$750	+$21.07	51% 2285-2228 (4513)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$375	$750	+$375
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$332.52	—	-$353.93
QU QuantumPebble673ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2475-1962 (4437)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
HO hoodquant	Upavg 97.7¢	$377.91	$386.89	+$8.98	98% 2427-48 (2475)
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Downavg 38.5¢	$184.79	$105	-$79.79	50% 1465-1436 (2901)
└ Down leg	Downavg 38.5¢	$148.79	—	-$148.79
└ Up leg	Upavg 34.3¢	$36	$105	+$69
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 9.5¢	$37.82	—	-$5.18	54% 1694-1445 (3139)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 48.5¢	$49.14	$58.09	+$27.2	49% 3543-3653 (7196)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Upavg 88.8¢	$46.06	$51.85	+$5.79	58% 4625-3399 (8024)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 19¢	$6.7	—	-$6.7	44% 1381-1765 (3146)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 84.1¢	$20.81	$16	-$4.81	66% 2393-1213 (3606)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 19.9¢	$6.39	$24.22	+$17.83	39% 906-1439 (2345)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 8.8¢	$13.3	—	-$1.64	52% 4183-3927 (8110)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 84¢	$24.3	$15	-$9.3	52% 1825-1704 (3529)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 85¢	$13.88	$12	-$1.88	63% 1680-978 (2658)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 70¢	$6.65	$7.14	+$0.49	38% 938-1558 (2496)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.08	$6	+$4.92	38% 748-1242 (1990)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 82¢	$7.38	$9	+$1.62	62% 2807-1686 (4493)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 85¢	$5.34	$6.28	+$0.94	48% 1620-1725 (3345)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 4¢	$0.2	—	-$0.2	48% 1377-1513 (2890)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.1	—	-$0.1	52% 1462-1348 (2810)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$2.2	—	-$2.2	48% 1255-1352 (2607)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 80¢	$28.53	—	-$21.25	60% 2556-1710 (4266)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 7.4¢	$6.17	—	-$6.17	47% 997-1147 (2144)