Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 64%
$1.6K
$-2.5K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 25 top traders (64%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 64% 140-79 (219) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $624.69 | $631 | +$6.31 | 58% 4615-3393 (8008) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $490.63 | $491.12 | +$0.49 | 49% 936-980 (1916) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 87.9¢ | $149.43 | $161.34 | +$18.14 | 49% 3525-3636 (7161) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 91.4¢ | $52.37 | $55 | +$2.63 | 52% 1456-1332 (2788) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $44.64 | $46.5 | +$1.86 | 98% 2405-48 (2453) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 76.9¢ | $29.46 | $36.99 | +$7.53 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $33.02 | $33.9 | +$0.88 | 33% 686-1380 (2066) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $31.39 | $30 | -$1.39 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $18.25 | $19.01 | +$0.76 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.2¢ | $14.66 | $16.82 | +$2.16 | 66% 2369-1200 (3569) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $13.6 | $16 | +$2.4 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $11.32 | $10.53 | -$0.79 | 46% 985-1137 (2122) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98.4¢ | $9.9 | $10.06 | +$0.16 | 48% 1603-1710 (3313) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 46% 1350-1577 (2927) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $7.07 | $6 | -$1.07 | 52% 1810-1682 (3492) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $5.7 | $6 | +$0.3 | 63% 1662-970 (2632) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 44% 1371-1749 (3120) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 39% 895-1424 (2319) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 63% 2780-1667 (4447) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $1.04 | $2.04 | +$1 | 48% 1242-1341 (2583) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $12.55 | — | -$12.55 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $6.15 | — | -$6.15 | 52% 4164-3913 (8077) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
64%
140-79 (219)
Invested
$624.69
Value
$631
PnL
+$6.31
Record
58%
4615-3393 (8008)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$490.63
Value
$491.12
PnL
+$0.49
Record
49%
936-980 (1916)
Invested
$149.43
Value
$161.34
PnL
+$18.14
Record
49%
3525-3636 (7161)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$52.37
Value
$55
PnL
+$2.63
Record
52%
1456-1332 (2788)
Invested
$44.64
Value
$46.5
PnL
+$1.86
Record
98%
2405-48 (2453)
Invested
$29.46
Value
$36.99
PnL
+$7.53
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$33.02
Value
$33.9
PnL
+$0.88
Record
33%
686-1380 (2066)
Invested
$31.39
Value
$30
PnL
-$1.39
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Invested
$18.25
Value
$19.01
PnL
+$0.76
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
Invested
$14.66
Value
$16.82
PnL
+$2.16
Record
66%
2369-1200 (3569)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$16
PnL
+$2.4
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$11.32
Value
$10.53
PnL
-$0.79
Record
46%
985-1137 (2122)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10.06
PnL
+$0.16
Record
48%
1603-1710 (3313)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
46%
1350-1577 (2927)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.07
Value
$6
PnL
-$1.07
Record
52%
1810-1682 (3492)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.3
Record
63%
1662-970 (2632)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
44%
1371-1749 (3120)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
39%
895-1424 (2319)
Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
63%
2780-1667 (4447)
Invested
$1.04
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$1
Record
48%
1242-1341 (2583)
Invested
$12.55
Value
—
PnL
-$12.55
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
Invested
$6.15
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
52%
4164-3913 (8077)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $631
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
0x50f7
Down — $491.12
asdcaxz
Down — $161.34
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $55
hoodquant
Down — $46.5
ply-pm2
Down — $36.99
pspspsps5
Down — $33.9