Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 53%
$2.4K
$-1.7K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 20 top traders (50%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$1.57 | 64% 140-79 (219) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$682.39 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 70.2¢ | $425.09 | $449.08 | +$33.56 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $322.59 | $318.49 | -$4.05 | 58% 4615-3393 (8008) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 66.6¢ | $44.83 | $47.46 | +$2.63 | 49% 3525-3636 (7161) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.4¢ | $32.42 | $41.91 | +$9.49 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $22.7 | $35 | +$12.3 | 52% 4164-3913 (8077) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.4¢ | $47.45 | — | -$42.67 | 52% 1456-1332 (2788) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $37.53 | $30 | -$7.53 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.7¢ | $10.86 | $12.52 | +$1.66 | 66% 2369-1200 (3569) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $10.66 | $19.26 | +$8.6 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $6.72 | $14 | +$7.28 | 48% 1242-1341 (2583) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.9¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 52% 1810-1682 (3492) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | 39% 895-1424 (2319) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.5¢ | $2.58 | — | -$2.58 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 33% 686-1380 (2066) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 927-1543 (2470) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.4¢ | $3.07 | — | -$3.07 | 46% 985-1137 (2122) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$1.57
Record
64%
140-79 (219)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$682.39
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$425.09
Value
$449.08
PnL
+$33.56
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$322.59
Value
$318.49
PnL
-$4.05
Record
58%
4615-3393 (8008)
Invested
$44.83
Value
$47.46
PnL
+$2.63
Record
49%
3525-3636 (7161)
Invested
$32.42
Value
$41.91
PnL
+$9.49
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
Invested
$22.7
Value
$35
PnL
+$12.3
Record
52%
4164-3913 (8077)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$47.45
Value
—
PnL
-$42.67
Record
52%
1456-1332 (2788)
Invested
$37.53
Value
$30
PnL
-$7.53
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Invested
$10.86
Value
$12.52
PnL
+$1.66
Record
66%
2369-1200 (3569)
Invested
$10.66
Value
$19.26
PnL
+$8.6
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
Invested
$6.72
Value
$14
PnL
+$7.28
Record
48%
1242-1341 (2583)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
52%
1810-1682 (3492)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
39%
895-1424 (2319)
Invested
$2.58
Value
—
PnL
-$2.58
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
33%
686-1380 (2066)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
927-1543 (2470)
Invested
$3.07
Value
—
PnL
-$3.07
Record
46%
985-1137 (2122)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $449.08
Hcrystallash
Down — $318.49
asdcaxz
Down — $47.46
aaa221
Down — $41.91
blue.birds
Down — $35
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0