Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 81%
$2.9K
-$956.05
Smart Money Signal
17 of 21 top traders (81%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$2.18 | 64% 140-79 (219) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $750 | +$4.65 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 86.5¢ | $251.28 | $290.56 | +$39.29 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $94.05 | $95 | +$0.95 | 98% 2405-48 (2453) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $92.72 | $90 | -$2.72 | 49% 3525-3636 (7161) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $49.87 | $56.12 | +$6.25 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 81.8¢ | $149.53 | $51.2 | -$13.21 | 52% 1456-1332 (2788) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 85.1¢ | $31.84 | $32.37 | +$0.78 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $28.31 | $27.29 | -$1.02 | 39% 895-1424 (2319) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 83.9¢ | $24.46 | $26.66 | +$2.2 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $21.28 | $22.4 | +$1.12 | 48% 1361-1500 (2861) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85.8¢ | $20.6 | $24 | +$3.4 | 52% 1810-1682 (3492) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.2¢ | $16.54 | $16.83 | +$0.29 | 66% 2369-1200 (3569) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $16.2 | $17.14 | +$0.94 | 52% 4164-3913 (8077) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $5.52 | $6 | +$0.48 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $4.85 | $5.2 | +$0.35 | 63% 1662-970 (2632) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $4.75 | $5.16 | +$0.41 | 48% 1603-1710 (3313) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $1.37 | — | -$1.37 | 33% 686-1380 (2066) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 47% 1712-1954 (3666) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$2.18
Record
64%
140-79 (219)
Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$4.65
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$251.28
Value
$290.56
PnL
+$39.29
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$94.05
Value
$95
PnL
+$0.95
Record
98%
2405-48 (2453)
Invested
$92.72
Value
$90
PnL
-$2.72
Record
49%
3525-3636 (7161)
Invested
$49.87
Value
$56.12
PnL
+$6.25
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$149.53
Value
$51.2
PnL
-$13.21
Record
52%
1456-1332 (2788)
Invested
$31.84
Value
$32.37
PnL
+$0.78
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$28.31
Value
$27.29
PnL
-$1.02
Record
39%
895-1424 (2319)
Invested
$24.46
Value
$26.66
PnL
+$2.2
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
ohioism<$100Invested
$21.28
Value
$22.4
PnL
+$1.12
Record
48%
1361-1500 (2861)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$20.6
Value
$24
PnL
+$3.4
Record
52%
1810-1682 (3492)
Invested
$16.54
Value
$16.83
PnL
+$0.29
Record
66%
2369-1200 (3569)
Invested
$16.2
Value
$17.14
PnL
+$0.94
Record
52%
4164-3913 (8077)
Invested
$5.52
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.48
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5.2
PnL
+$0.35
Record
63%
1662-970 (2632)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5.16
PnL
+$0.41
Record
48%
1603-1710 (3313)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.37
Value
—
PnL
-$1.37
Record
33%
686-1380 (2066)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
47%
1712-1954 (3666)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
Down — $750
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $290.56
hoodquant
Down — $95
asdcaxz
Down — $90
aaa221
Down — $56.12
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $51.2
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $32.37