Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 52%
$2.1K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 23 top traders (52%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$6.19 | 64% 140-79 (219) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$743.95 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $374.22 | $378 | +$3.78 | 58% 4615-3393 (8008) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $92.07 | $93 | +$0.93 | 98% 2405-48 (2453) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 97.7¢ | $90.61 | $92.1 | +$1.49 | 33% 686-1380 (2066) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 39.6¢ | $20 | $50.45 | +$30.45 | 49% 3525-3636 (7161) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 80.8¢ | $137.01 | $30 | -$1.55 | 52% 1456-1332 (2788) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $11.7 | $30 | +$18.3 | 52% 4164-3913 (8077) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $30.9 | $30 | -$0.9 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $26.6 | — | -$26.6 | 46% 985-1137 (2122) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $15.58 | $28.87 | +$13.29 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.7¢ | $16.82 | — | -$16.82 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $17.55 | $15 | -$2.55 | 66% 2369-1200 (3569) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 63% 1662-970 (2632) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 48% 1603-1710 (3313) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 63% 2780-1667 (4447) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.1¢ | $1.16 | — | -$1.16 | 52% 1810-1682 (3492) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $0.78 | — | -$0.78 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 39% 895-1424 (2319) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $29 | — | -$29 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $6.2 | — | -$6.2 | 47% 1411-1608 (3019) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$6.19
Record
64%
140-79 (219)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$743.95
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$374.22
Value
$378
PnL
+$3.78
Record
58%
4615-3393 (8008)
Invested
$92.07
Value
$93
PnL
+$0.93
Record
98%
2405-48 (2453)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$90.61
Value
$92.1
PnL
+$1.49
Record
33%
686-1380 (2066)
Invested
$20
Value
$50.45
PnL
+$30.45
Record
49%
3525-3636 (7161)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$137.01
Value
$30
PnL
-$1.55
Record
52%
1456-1332 (2788)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$18.3
Record
52%
4164-3913 (8077)
Invested
$30.9
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.9
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
Invested
$26.6
Value
—
PnL
-$26.6
Record
46%
985-1137 (2122)
Invested
$15.58
Value
$28.87
PnL
+$13.29
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
Invested
$16.82
Value
—
PnL
-$16.82
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Invested
$17.55
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.55
Record
66%
2369-1200 (3569)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
63%
1662-970 (2632)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
48%
1603-1710 (3313)
Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
63%
2780-1667 (4447)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.16
Value
—
PnL
-$1.16
Record
52%
1810-1682 (3492)
Invested
$0.78
Value
—
PnL
-$0.78
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
39%
895-1424 (2319)
Invested
$29
Value
—
PnL
-$29
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$6.2
Value
—
PnL
-$6.2
Record
47%
1411-1608 (3019)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $378
hoodquant
Down — $93
pspspsps5
Down — $92.1
asdcaxz
Down — $50.45
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $30
blue.birds
Down — $30