Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
21
Up 55%
$3.3K
-$317.04
Smart Money Signal
12 of 21 top traders (57%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$13.79 | 64% 140-79 (219) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50Β’ | $750 | $695 | -$13.99 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | β |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 64Β’ | $156.98 | β | -$156.98 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 35Β’ | $98.61 | β | -$79.81 | 49% 3525-3636 (7161) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $90.94 | $91.86 | +$0.92 | 58% 4615-3393 (8008) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 74.7Β’ | $67.15 | $51.43 | -$15.72 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.9Β’ | $57.2 | β | -$42.95 | 46% 985-1137 (2122) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 21Β’ | $37.92 | β | -$25.32 | 52% 4164-3913 (8077) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 46.6Β’ | $17.29 | $18 | +$5.51 | 63% 2780-1667 (4447) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $7.25 | $5 | -$2.25 | 52% 1810-1682 (3492) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 45.2Β’ | $4.83 | $10.69 | +$5.86 | 48% 1242-1341 (2583) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | $3.45 | $5 | +$1.55 | 47% 1411-1608 (3019) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $2.28 | $6 | +$3.72 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 5Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 48% 1603-1710 (3313) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.6Β’ | $3.92 | β | -$3.92 | 66% 2369-1200 (3569) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.03 | β | -$0.03 | 52% 1456-1332 (2788) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $10.65 | β | -$10.65 | 48% 1361-1500 (2861) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.2Β’ | $1.85 | β | -$1.85 | 44% 1371-1749 (3120) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 43Β’ | $4.67 | $0 | +$6.08 | 47% 1712-1954 (3666) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$13.79
Record
64%
140-79 (219)
Invested
$750
Value
$695
PnL
-$13.99
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
β
Invested
$156.98
Value
β
PnL
-$156.98
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Invested
$98.61
Value
β
PnL
-$79.81
Record
49%
3525-3636 (7161)
Invested
$90.94
Value
$91.86
PnL
+$0.92
Record
58%
4615-3393 (8008)
Invested
$67.15
Value
$51.43
PnL
-$15.72
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
Invested
$57.2
Value
β
PnL
-$42.95
Record
46%
985-1137 (2122)
Invested
$37.92
Value
β
PnL
-$25.32
Record
52%
4164-3913 (8077)
Invested
$17.29
Value
$18
PnL
+$5.51
Record
63%
2780-1667 (4447)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.25
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.25
Record
52%
1810-1682 (3492)
Invested
$4.83
Value
$10.69
PnL
+$5.86
Record
48%
1242-1341 (2583)
Invested
$3.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.55
Record
47%
1411-1608 (3019)
Invested
$2.28
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.72
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
48%
1603-1710 (3313)
Invested
$3.92
Value
β
PnL
-$3.92
Record
66%
2369-1200 (3569)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
β
PnL
-$0.03
Record
52%
1456-1332 (2788)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$10.65
Value
β
PnL
-$10.65
Record
48%
1361-1500 (2861)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
β
PnL
-$1.85
Record
44%
1371-1749 (3120)
Invested
$4.67
Value
$0
PnL
+$6.08
Record
47%
1712-1954 (3666)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.5K
soswald1
Up β $695
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
QuantumPebble673
Up β $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0
Hcrystallash
Up β $91.86
ply-pm2
Up β $51.43
rabadabadoo
CTRDown β $0
blue.birds
CTRDown β $0