Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 56%
1 arb excluded
$2.7K
-$19.8
Smart Money Signal
10 of 19 top traders (53%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.52 | 65% 127-68 (195) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $495 | -$1.85 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.5 | $495 | +$248.15 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 80.9¢ | $63.55 | $69.27 | +$6.1 | 49% 3518-3623 (7141) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $27.05 | $30 | +$2.95 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 72.2¢ | $22.26 | $24.65 | +$2.39 | 51% 2225-2153 (4378) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.6¢ | $14.59 | — | -$14.59 | 46% 965-1112 (2077) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $12.45 | $15 | +$2.55 | 60% 2481-1663 (4144) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $12.3 | $15 | +$2.7 | 46% 1320-1541 (2861) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $12.95 | $12.13 | -$0.82 | 66% 2317-1186 (3503) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $9.5 | $10.41 | +$0.91 | 50% 466-464 (930) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $9.34 | — | -$9.34 | 47% 1666-1892 (3558) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $6.9 | — | -$6.9 | 48% 1336-1466 (2802) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $4.1 | $5 | +$0.9 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $4.35 | — | -$4.35 | 47% 1374-1576 (2950) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.2¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 52% 1784-1636 (3420) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 39% 873-1384 (2257) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 44% 1344-1706 (3050) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 52% 4124-3876 (8000) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.52
Record
65%
127-68 (195)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
$495
PnL
-$1.85
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Both legs:
Invested
$63.55
Value
$69.27
PnL
+$6.1
Record
49%
3518-3623 (7141)
Invested
$27.05
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.95
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$22.26
Value
$24.65
PnL
+$2.39
Record
51%
2225-2153 (4378)
Invested
$14.59
Value
—
PnL
-$14.59
Record
46%
965-1112 (2077)
Invested
$12.45
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.55
Record
60%
2481-1663 (4144)
Invested
$12.3
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.7
Record
46%
1320-1541 (2861)
Invested
$12.95
Value
$12.13
PnL
-$0.82
Record
66%
2317-1186 (3503)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$10.41
PnL
+$0.91
Record
50%
466-464 (930)
Invested
$9.34
Value
—
PnL
-$9.34
Record
47%
1666-1892 (3558)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.9
Value
—
PnL
-$6.9
Record
48%
1336-1466 (2802)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.9
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
Invested
$4.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.35
Record
47%
1374-1576 (2950)
Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
52%
1784-1636 (3420)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
39%
873-1384 (2257)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
44%
1344-1706 (3050)
Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
52%
4124-3876 (8000)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $69.27
ply-pm2
Up — $30
soswald1
Up — $24.65
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $15
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $15
asdaefef
Up — $12.13