Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
27
Down 44%
$1.5K
$-2.2K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 27 top traders (44%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 65% 127-68 (195) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Downavg 99¢ | $629.97 | — | -$629.97 | 58% 4587-3378 (7965) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 1.6¢ | $8.43 | $528.42 | +$520 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.7¢ | $508.8 | — | -$507.5 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
HO hoodquantCTR | Downavg 99¢ | $304.92 | — | -$304.92 | 98% 2353-45 (2398) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 12.2¢ | $20.9 | $130.33 | +$113.42 | 51% 2225-2153 (4378) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Downavg 44.7¢ | $133.04 | — | -$34.04 | 49% 3518-3623 (7141) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 43.2¢ | $33.35 | — | -$33.35 | 50% 1923-1911 (3834) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 6.7¢ | $2.83 | $42 | +$39.17 | 39% 873-1384 (2257) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $70.12 | — | -$55.81 | 53% 1432-1294 (2726) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.5¢ | $50.08 | — | -$22.09 | 52% 4124-3876 (8000) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $18.91 | $38.81 | +$19.9 | 48% 1221-1313 (2534) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $16.6 | $17.85 | +$1.52 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 1.7¢ | $2.68 | $158.7 | +$156.02 | 33% 675-1344 (2019) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 11.3¢ | $4.6 | $21.23 | +$16.63 | 46% 965-1112 (2077) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $6.31 | — | -$6.31 | 63% 1621-961 (2582) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $4.99 | $4.99 | +$0 | 49% 927-964 (1891) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 7.2¢ | $3.66 | $51 | +$47.34 | 46% 1320-1541 (2861) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $4.38 | $6 | +$1.62 | 60% 2481-1663 (4144) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $4.05 | — | -$4.05 | 66% 2317-1186 (3503) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $16.43 | — | -$16.43 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.71 | $19 | +$17.29 | 48% 1558-1684 (3242) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 9.5¢ | $0.95 | $10 | +$9.05 | 74% 1097-389 (1486) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $0.73 | $1.55 | +$0.82 | 50% 466-464 (930) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
65%
127-68 (195)
Invested
$629.97
Value
—
PnL
-$629.97
Record
58%
4587-3378 (7965)
Invested
$8.43
Value
$528.42
PnL
+$520
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
Invested
$508.8
Value
—
PnL
-$507.5
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$304.92
Value
—
PnL
-$304.92
Record
98%
2353-45 (2398)
Invested
$20.9
Value
$130.33
PnL
+$113.42
Record
51%
2225-2153 (4378)
Invested
$133.04
Value
—
PnL
-$34.04
Record
49%
3518-3623 (7141)
Invested
$33.35
Value
—
PnL
-$33.35
Record
50%
1923-1911 (3834)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.83
Value
$42
PnL
+$39.17
Record
39%
873-1384 (2257)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$70.12
Value
—
PnL
-$55.81
Record
53%
1432-1294 (2726)
Invested
$50.08
Value
—
PnL
-$22.09
Record
52%
4124-3876 (8000)
Invested
$18.91
Value
$38.81
PnL
+$19.9
Record
48%
1221-1313 (2534)
Invested
$16.6
Value
$17.85
PnL
+$1.52
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
pspspsps5Invested
$2.68
Value
$158.7
PnL
+$156.02
Record
33%
675-1344 (2019)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$21.23
PnL
+$16.63
Record
46%
965-1112 (2077)
Invested
$6.31
Value
—
PnL
-$6.31
Record
63%
1621-961 (2582)
Invested
$4.99
Value
$4.99
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
927-964 (1891)
Invested
$3.66
Value
$51
PnL
+$47.34
Record
46%
1320-1541 (2861)
Invested
$4.38
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.62
Record
60%
2481-1663 (4144)
Invested
$4.05
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
66%
2317-1186 (3503)
Invested
$16.43
Value
—
PnL
-$16.43
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$1.71
Value
$19
PnL
+$17.29
Record
48%
1558-1684 (3242)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$0.95
Value
$10
PnL
+$9.05
Record
74%
1097-389 (1486)
Invested
$0.73
Value
$1.55
PnL
+$0.82
Record
50%
466-464 (930)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $528.42
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
hoodquant
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $130.33
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $42