Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 58%
$1.8K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$2.74 | 65% 127-68 (195) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$689.42 | 51% 2225-2153 (4378) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $168.25 | $169.95 | +$1.7 | 58% 4587-3378 (7965) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.1¢ | $57.22 | — | -$57.22 | 48% 2255-2437 (4692) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $69.27 | $48.46 | -$20.81 | 48% 1221-1313 (2534) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98.7¢ | $32.75 | $30.99 | -$1.76 | 48% 1558-1684 (3242) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 76.8¢ | $25.98 | $27.27 | +$1.29 | 50% 1923-1911 (3834) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 86.5¢ | $34.9 | $25 | +$6.15 | 53% 1432-1294 (2726) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $17.6 | $16.85 | -$0.75 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.9 | — | -$12.9 | 47% 1374-1576 (2950) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.6¢ | $11.38 | $12.43 | +$1.05 | 66% 2317-1186 (3503) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $26.67 | $12 | +$0.03 | 39% 873-1384 (2257) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 98% 2353-45 (2398) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.56 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.6¢ | $0.69 | — | -$0.69 | 33% 675-1344 (2019) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $0.65 | — | -$0.65 | 52% 1784-1636 (3420) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.9 | — | -$12.9 | 52% 4124-3876 (8000) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$2.74
Record
65%
127-68 (195)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$689.42
Record
51%
2225-2153 (4378)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$168.25
Value
$169.95
PnL
+$1.7
Record
58%
4587-3378 (7965)
Invested
$57.22
Value
—
PnL
-$57.22
Record
48%
2255-2437 (4692)
Invested
$69.27
Value
$48.46
PnL
-$20.81
Record
48%
1221-1313 (2534)
Invested
$32.75
Value
$30.99
PnL
-$1.76
Record
48%
1558-1684 (3242)
Invested
$25.98
Value
$27.27
PnL
+$1.29
Record
50%
1923-1911 (3834)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$34.9
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.15
Record
53%
1432-1294 (2726)
Invested
$17.6
Value
$16.85
PnL
-$0.75
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$12.9
Value
—
PnL
-$12.9
Record
47%
1374-1576 (2950)
Invested
$11.38
Value
$12.43
PnL
+$1.05
Record
66%
2317-1186 (3503)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$26.67
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.03
Record
39%
873-1384 (2257)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
98%
2353-45 (2398)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.56
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.69
Value
—
PnL
-$0.69
Record
33%
675-1344 (2019)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.65
Value
—
PnL
-$0.65
Record
52%
1784-1636 (3420)
Invested
$12.9
Value
—
PnL
-$12.9
Record
52%
4124-3876 (8000)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $169.95
38791873984189
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $48.46
dvasdkasodk
Down — $30.99
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $27.27
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $25