Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$3.5K
$27.36
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$6.07 | 65% 127-68 (195) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $746.87 | -$1.84 | 51% 2225-2153 (4378) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $375 | — | -$375 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $373.44 | $746.87 | +$373.16 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 99¢ | $166.33 | $168.01 | +$1.68 | 58% 4587-3378 (7965) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 60.2¢ | $43.3 | $42.5 | -$0.8 | 53% 1432-1294 (2726) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $17.74 | $37.74 | +$20 | 50% 466-464 (930) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.3¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 52% 4124-3876 (8000) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $2.3 | $5.11 | +$2.81 | 66% 2317-1186 (3503) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $2.25 | $5 | +$2.75 | 47% 1374-1576 (2950) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 49% 927-964 (1891) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $1.31 | $1.56 | +$0.25 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $2.04 | $1 | +$3.91 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $0.88 | $0.92 | +$0.04 | 39% 873-1384 (2257) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.3¢ | $2.98 | — | -$2.98 | 50% 1923-1911 (3834) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.4¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 52% 1784-1636 (3420) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$6.07
Record
65%
127-68 (195)
Invested
$750
Value
$746.87
PnL
-$1.84
Record
51%
2225-2153 (4378)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$166.33
Value
$168.01
PnL
+$1.68
Record
58%
4587-3378 (7965)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$43.3
Value
$42.5
PnL
-$0.8
Record
53%
1432-1294 (2726)
Invested
$17.74
Value
$37.74
PnL
+$20
Record
50%
466-464 (930)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
52%
4124-3876 (8000)
Invested
$2.3
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$2.81
Record
66%
2317-1186 (3503)
Invested
$2.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.75
Record
47%
1374-1576 (2950)
Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
49%
927-964 (1891)
Invested
$1.31
Value
$1.56
PnL
+$0.25
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$2.04
Value
$1
PnL
+$3.91
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
$0.92
PnL
+$0.04
Record
39%
873-1384 (2257)
Invested
$2.98
Value
—
PnL
-$2.98
Record
50%
1923-1911 (3834)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
52%
1784-1636 (3420)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
Hcrystallash
Up — $168.01
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $42.5
PBot-6
Up — $37.74
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $5
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $5.11