Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 42%
2 arb excluded
$2.6K
-$529.35
Smart Money Signal
8 of 19 top traders (42%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$4.21 | 65% 127-68 (195) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $740.74 | $1.5K | +$741.03 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $741.52 | — | -$745.24 | |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$2.7 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245 | — | -$247.3 | |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $312.7 | $313.01 | +$0.31 | 49% 927-964 (1891) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 99¢ | $214.83 | $217 | +$2.17 | 58% 4587-3378 (7965) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $17.69 | $17.38 | -$0.31 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.9¢ | $15.26 | $13.87 | -$1.33 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98.5¢ | $11.83 | $12.01 | +$0.18 | 48% 1558-1684 (3242) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10.5 | — | -$10.5 | 47% 1374-1576 (2950) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $4.75 | $5.05 | +$0.3 | 66% 2317-1186 (3503) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $3.85 | $5 | +$1.15 | 63% 1621-961 (2582) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $4.05 | — | -$4.05 | 48% 1336-1466 (2802) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.68 | — | -$2.68 | 48% 2255-2437 (4692) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.4¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 33% 675-1344 (2019) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $1.11 | $1.26 | +$0.15 | 60% 2481-1663 (4144) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $0.92 | — | -$0.92 | 48% 1221-1313 (2534) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.6¢ | $0.89 | — | -$0.89 | 52% 1784-1636 (3420) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 53% 1432-1294 (2726) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.9¢ | $2.74 | — | -$2.74 | 39% 873-1384 (2257) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.1¢ | $7.41 | — | -$7.41 | 46% 965-1112 (2077) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$4.21
Record
65%
127-68 (195)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$2.7
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Both legs:
Invested
$312.7
Value
$313.01
PnL
+$0.31
Record
49%
927-964 (1891)
Invested
$214.83
Value
$217
PnL
+$2.17
Record
58%
4587-3378 (7965)
Invested
$17.69
Value
$17.38
PnL
-$0.31
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$15.26
Value
$13.87
PnL
-$1.33
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
Invested
$11.83
Value
$12.01
PnL
+$0.18
Record
48%
1558-1684 (3242)
Invested
$10.5
Value
—
PnL
-$10.5
Record
47%
1374-1576 (2950)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.3
Record
66%
2317-1186 (3503)
Invested
$3.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.15
Record
63%
1621-961 (2582)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.05
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
48%
1336-1466 (2802)
Invested
$2.68
Value
—
PnL
-$2.68
Record
48%
2255-2437 (4692)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
33%
675-1344 (2019)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
Invested
$1.11
Value
$1.26
PnL
+$0.15
Record
60%
2481-1663 (4144)
Invested
$0.92
Value
—
PnL
-$0.92
Record
48%
1221-1313 (2534)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.89
Value
—
PnL
-$0.89
Record
52%
1784-1636 (3420)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
53%
1432-1294 (2726)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.74
Value
—
PnL
-$2.74
Record
39%
873-1384 (2257)
Invested
$7.41
Value
—
PnL
-$7.41
Record
46%
965-1112 (2077)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
QuantumPebble673
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x50f7
Up — $313.01
Hcrystallash
Up — $217
ply-pm2
Up — $17.38
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $13.87
dvasdkasodk
Up — $12.01
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $5.05