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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

21

Up 52%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.9K

Combined PnL

-$98.58

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 21 top traders (52%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders
Total Value$402.4
Total Shares402
Combined PnL+$7.01
Down10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares637
Combined PnL-$105.59
Up β€” 52%Down β€” 48%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$9.49

Record

65%

127-68 (195)

Both legs:

Up$729.4250Β’+$729.71
Down$727.7350Β’-$720.22
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$503.48

Value

$500

PnL

-$3.48

Record

56%

2419-1897 (4316)

Both legs:

Up$25050Β’+$250
Down$253.4849.6Β’-$253.48
QU
QuantumPebble673ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

β€”

Both legs:

Up$25050Β’+$250
Down$25050Β’-$250
HC
Hcrystallash
Up

Invested

$257.2

Value

$248.97

PnL

-$8.18

Record

58%

4587-3378 (7965)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$47.05

Value

$35.3

PnL

-$11.75

Record

54%

1637-1402 (3039)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.17

Value

β€”

PnL

-$20.87

Record

53%

1432-1294 (2726)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$15.83

Value

$15

PnL

-$0.83

Record

52%

4124-3876 (8000)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$18.15

Value

$15

PnL

-$3.11

Record

62%

2708-1636 (4344)

38
38791873984189CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$14.7

Value

β€”

PnL

-$14.7

Record

48%

2255-2437 (4692)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$22.57

Value

$14

PnL

-$8.57

Record

66%

2317-1186 (3503)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$4.43

Value

$21

PnL

+$16.57

Record

39%

873-1384 (2257)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$3

Value

$12

PnL

+$9

Record

37%

679-1149 (1828)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$16.23

Value

$18.44

PnL

+$2.21

Record

60%

2481-1663 (4144)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.09

Value

β€”

PnL

-$10.09

Record

46%

965-1112 (2077)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$6.79

Value

$7.01

PnL

+$0.22

Record

63%

1621-961 (2582)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$1.44

Value

$12

PnL

+$10.56

Record

33%

675-1344 (2019)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.68

Value

β€”

PnL

-$6.68

Record

50%

466-464 (930)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.1

Value

β€”

PnL

-$7.1

Record

51%

2225-2153 (4378)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.39

Value

β€”

PnL

-$5.39

Record

44%

1344-1706 (3050)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.02

Value

β€”

PnL

-$6.02

Record

49%

927-964 (1891)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$2.8

Value

$3.68

PnL

+$0.88

Record

47%

1374-1576 (2950)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.01

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.01

Record

52%

1784-1636 (3420)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$32.66

Value

β€”

PnL

-$32.66

Record

51%

1409-1375 (2784)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

901-1503 (2404)