Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Up 67%
$426.04
$-2.5K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 21 top traders (67%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 65% 127-68 (195) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.4¢ | $507.57 | — | -$504.55 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $273.72 | $276.48 | +$2.76 | 58% 4587-3378 (7965) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $90 | — | -$90 | 53% 314-280 (594) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $35.48 | $83 | +$61.02 | 51% 1409-1375 (2784) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $10.97 | $23.86 | +$12.88 | 48% 2255-2437 (4692) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $19.2 | — | -$19.2 | 53% 1432-1294 (2726) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $18.88 | — | -$18.88 | 46% 965-1112 (2077) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $11.25 | $15 | +$3.75 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $10.45 | $11.36 | +$0.91 | 48% 1558-1684 (3242) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $8.66 | $11.29 | +$2.63 | 66% 2317-1186 (3503) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.4¢ | $11.17 | — | -$11.17 | 51% 2225-2153 (4378) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $4.8 | $5.05 | +$0.25 | 63% 1621-961 (2582) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $21.3 | — | -$21.3 | 52% 4124-3876 (8000) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.1¢ | $2.27 | — | -$2.27 | 39% 873-1384 (2257) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.2¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 33% 675-1344 (2019) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.5¢ | $20.56 | — | -$20.56 | 47% 1666-1892 (3558) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 52% 1784-1636 (3420) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
65%
127-68 (195)
Invested
$507.57
Value
—
PnL
-$504.55
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$273.72
Value
$276.48
PnL
+$2.76
Record
58%
4587-3378 (7965)
Invested
$90
Value
—
PnL
-$90
Record
53%
314-280 (594)
Invested
$35.48
Value
$83
PnL
+$61.02
Record
51%
1409-1375 (2784)
Invested
$10.97
Value
$23.86
PnL
+$12.88
Record
48%
2255-2437 (4692)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$19.2
Value
—
PnL
-$19.2
Record
53%
1432-1294 (2726)
Invested
$18.88
Value
—
PnL
-$18.88
Record
46%
965-1112 (2077)
Invested
$11.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.75
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$10.45
Value
$11.36
PnL
+$0.91
Record
48%
1558-1684 (3242)
Invested
$8.66
Value
$11.29
PnL
+$2.63
Record
66%
2317-1186 (3503)
Invested
$11.17
Value
—
PnL
-$11.17
Record
51%
2225-2153 (4378)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.25
Record
63%
1621-961 (2582)
Invested
$21.3
Value
—
PnL
-$21.3
Record
52%
4124-3876 (8000)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.27
Value
—
PnL
-$2.27
Record
39%
873-1384 (2257)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
33%
675-1344 (2019)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
Invested
$20.56
Value
—
PnL
-$20.56
Record
47%
1666-1892 (3558)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
52%
1784-1636 (3420)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $276.48
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $83
38791873984189
Down — $23.86
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
rabadabadoo
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $15