Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$2.7K
$20.66
Smart Money Signal
15 of 23 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$0.81 | 65% 111-60 (171) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $506.5 | $510 | +$3.5 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.3¢ | $256.5 | $510 | +$253.5 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 78.3¢ | $54.8 | $70 | +$15.2 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 66.3¢ | $47.68 | $35.52 | +$2.24 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 46.8¢ | $31.26 | $66.8 | +$35.54 | 48% 1191-1298 (2489) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 56.8¢ | $26.02 | $27.21 | +$1.19 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 63.1¢ | $14.9 | $17 | +$2.1 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91.6¢ | $18.24 | $18.33 | +$0.82 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $14.7 | $15 | +$0.3 | 98% 2299-45 (2344) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 78.9¢ | $11.09 | $13.88 | +$2.79 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $21.22 | — | -$16.46 | 47% 943-1084 (2027) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $10.86 | $11.37 | +$0.51 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $5.34 | $6 | +$0.66 | 38% 657-1093 (1750) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $2.25 | $5 | +$2.75 | 48% 1314-1432 (2746) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.4¢ | $1.88 | — | -$1.88 | 33% 663-1321 (1984) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $2.76 | — | -$0.15 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $1.02 | $2.17 | +$1.15 | 48% 2223-2408 (4631) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.9¢ | $0.63 | — | -$0.63 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.4¢ | $18.03 | — | -$18.03 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 880-1457 (2337) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.3¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 39% 852-1352 (2204) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.6¢ | $5.22 | — | -$5.22 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$0.81
Record
65%
111-60 (171)
Invested
$506.5
Value
$510
PnL
+$3.5
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$54.8
Value
$70
PnL
+$15.2
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
Invested
$47.68
Value
$35.52
PnL
+$2.24
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$31.26
Value
$66.8
PnL
+$35.54
Record
48%
1191-1298 (2489)
Invested
$26.02
Value
$27.21
PnL
+$1.19
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Invested
$14.9
Value
$17
PnL
+$2.1
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
Invested
$18.24
Value
$18.33
PnL
+$0.82
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.3
Record
98%
2299-45 (2344)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.09
Value
$13.88
PnL
+$2.79
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
Invested
$21.22
Value
—
PnL
-$16.46
Record
47%
943-1084 (2027)
Invested
$10.86
Value
$11.37
PnL
+$0.51
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
Invested
$5.34
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.66
Record
38%
657-1093 (1750)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.75
Record
48%
1314-1432 (2746)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.88
Value
—
PnL
-$1.88
Record
33%
663-1321 (1984)
Invested
$2.76
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
Invested
$1.02
Value
$2.17
PnL
+$1.15
Record
48%
2223-2408 (4631)
Invested
$0.63
Value
—
PnL
-$0.63
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$18.03
Value
—
PnL
-$18.03
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
880-1457 (2337)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
39%
852-1352 (2204)
Invested
$5.22
Value
—
PnL
-$5.22
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
uninformedfloww
Up — $70
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $35.52
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $66.8
ply-pm2
Up — $27.21
blue.birds
Up — $17
asdaefef
Up — $18.33
hoodquant
Up — $15