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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

18

Up 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$76

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 18 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$714.8
Total Shares715
Combined PnL+$16.57
Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares606
Combined PnL-$92.57
Up β€” 50%Down β€” 50%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$0.11

Record

65%

111-60 (171)

Both legs:

Up$724.6850Β’+$738.74
Down$722.6250Β’-$738.63
QU
QuantumPebble673
Up

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

β€”

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$500

Value

$490.01

PnL

-$2.1

Record

56%

2372-1839 (4211)

Both legs:

Up$24550Β’+$247.9
Down$25050Β’-$250
HC
Hcrystallash<$100
Up

Invested

$89.17

Value

$90.07

PnL

+$0.9

Record

58%

4568-3363 (7931)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$26.4

Value

$26.98

PnL

+$0.59

Record

51%

2178-2103 (4281)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$25.67

Value

$25

PnL

-$0.67

Record

50%

1859-1828 (3687)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$35.2

Value

β€”

PnL

-$17.6

Record

53%

1399-1261 (2660)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$18.3

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.7

Record

54%

1603-1367 (2970)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$13.65

Value

$27

PnL

+$13.35

Record

48%

1191-1298 (2489)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$12.54

Value

$9.93

PnL

+$0.61

Record

62%

2642-1602 (4244)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$8.33

Value

$10.54

PnL

+$2.21

Record

60%

2431-1634 (4065)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$7.39

Value

$5.28

PnL

-$2.12

Record

47%

943-1084 (2027)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2

Record

52%

4097-3832 (7929)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.9

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.9

Record

44%

1316-1666 (2982)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.61

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.61

Record

49%

903-945 (1848)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.66

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.66

Record

52%

1755-1602 (3357)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$45.18

Value

β€”

PnL

-$45.18

Record

51%

1376-1320 (2696)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$21.48

Value

β€”

PnL

-$21.48

Record

47%

1625-1826 (3451)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.09

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.09

Record

38%

657-1093 (1750)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.05

Record

38%

880-1457 (2337)