Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 47%
$2.8K
-$26.74
Smart Money Signal
8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$0.73 | 65% 111-60 (171) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $267.56 | $264.88 | -$2.68 | 58% 4568-3363 (7931) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 62.3¢ | $52.44 | $35 | +$6.81 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 85.5¢ | $22.17 | $20.42 | -$1.75 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $9.13 | $12 | +$2.87 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.5¢ | $9.8 | — | -$9.8 | 48% 1191-1298 (2489) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $3.78 | — | -$3.78 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.2¢ | $7.76 | — | -$7.76 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 38% 657-1093 (1750) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 39% 852-1352 (2204) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.7¢ | $0.53 | — | -$0.53 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $0.35 | $0.5 | +$0.16 | 47% 943-1084 (2027) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 49% 903-945 (1848) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.2¢ | $6.97 | — | -$6.97 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$0.73
Record
65%
111-60 (171)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$267.56
Value
$264.88
PnL
-$2.68
Record
58%
4568-3363 (7931)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$52.44
Value
$35
PnL
+$6.81
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
Invested
$22.17
Value
$20.42
PnL
-$1.75
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Invested
$9.13
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.87
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
Invested
$9.8
Value
—
PnL
-$9.8
Record
48%
1191-1298 (2489)
Invested
$3.78
Value
—
PnL
-$3.78
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
Invested
$7.76
Value
—
PnL
-$7.76
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
38%
657-1093 (1750)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
39%
852-1352 (2204)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.53
Value
—
PnL
-$0.53
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
Invested
$0.35
Value
$0.5
PnL
+$0.16
Record
47%
943-1084 (2027)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
49%
903-945 (1848)
Invested
$6.97
Value
—
PnL
-$6.97
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
QuantumPebble673
Down — $500
Hcrystallash
Down — $264.88
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $35
ply-pm2
Down — $20.42
blue.birds
Down — $12
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
CTRUp — $0