Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 64%
2 arb excluded
$3.5K
-$154.83
Smart Money Signal
17 of 26 top traders (65%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$28.54 | 65% 111-60 (171) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $720.65 | $1.4K | +$716.62 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $683.77 | — | -$688.08 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $735 | +$45.66 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $513.67 | $495 | -$9.45 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.2¢ | $255.8 | — | -$256.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.1¢ | $247.84 | $495 | +$246.75 | |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 47.2¢ | $184.3 | $213.02 | +$28.71 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 17.2¢ | $28.8 | $167.35 | +$138.55 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 37.8¢ | $55.28 | $86.56 | +$31.27 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 62.9¢ | $63 | — | -$63 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $38.87 | $43.86 | +$4.99 | 47% 943-1084 (2027) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $11.3 | $30 | +$18.7 | 44% 1316-1666 (2982) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 35.8¢ | $18.54 | $51.76 | +$33.22 | 48% 1191-1298 (2489) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 74.8¢ | $33.97 | — | -$33.97 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $21.19 | $21.62 | +$0.43 | 98% 2299-45 (2344) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $17.06 | — | -$17.06 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 47.8¢ | $11.95 | $25 | +$13.05 | 48% 772-820 (1592) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $5.52 | — | -$5.52 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $21.65 | — | -$21.65 | 46% 1298-1506 (2804) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $2.51 | $31.24 | +$28.73 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 3.7¢ | $1.8 | $48.69 | +$46.89 | 33% 663-1321 (1984) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.04 | $17.33 | +$16.29 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1 | $5.88 | +$4.88 | 63% 1587-944 (2531) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.74 | $36.8 | +$36.06 | 49% 903-945 (1848) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 8.2¢ | $2.95 | $35.89 | +$32.94 | 39% 852-1352 (2204) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$28.54
Record
65%
111-60 (171)
Both legs:
Invested
$750
Value
$735
PnL
+$45.66
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
Invested
$513.67
Value
$495
PnL
-$9.45
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$184.3
Value
$213.02
PnL
+$28.71
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
Invested
$28.8
Value
$167.35
PnL
+$138.55
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
Invested
$55.28
Value
$86.56
PnL
+$31.27
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$63
Value
—
PnL
-$63
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
Invested
$38.87
Value
$43.86
PnL
+$4.99
Record
47%
943-1084 (2027)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$11.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$18.7
Record
44%
1316-1666 (2982)
Invested
$18.54
Value
$51.76
PnL
+$33.22
Record
48%
1191-1298 (2489)
Invested
$33.97
Value
—
PnL
-$33.97
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Invested
$21.19
Value
$21.62
PnL
+$0.43
Record
98%
2299-45 (2344)
Invested
$17.06
Value
—
PnL
-$17.06
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$11.95
Value
$25
PnL
+$13.05
Record
48%
772-820 (1592)
Invested
$5.52
Value
—
PnL
-$5.52
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
Invested
$21.65
Value
—
PnL
-$21.65
Record
46%
1298-1506 (2804)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.51
Value
$31.24
PnL
+$28.73
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
$48.69
PnL
+$46.89
Record
33%
663-1321 (1984)
Invested
$1.04
Value
$17.33
PnL
+$16.29
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
Invested
$1
Value
$5.88
PnL
+$4.88
Record
63%
1587-944 (2531)
Invested
$0.74
Value
$36.8
PnL
+$36.06
Record
49%
903-945 (1848)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.95
Value
$35.89
PnL
+$32.94
Record
39%
852-1352 (2204)
Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Up — $735
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
QuantumPebble673
CTRDown — $0
blue.birds
Up — $213.02
uninformedfloww
Up — $167.35
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $86.56
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
rabadabadoo
Up — $43.86
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $30