Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 76%
1 arb excluded
$3.1K
-$41.8
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$46.49 | 65% 111-60 (171) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $503.47 | $493.45 | -$2.3 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.4¢ | $243.6 | $493.45 | +$247.7 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 79.8¢ | $175.31 | $123.21 | -$37.85 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $125.22 | $122.86 | -$2.35 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $103.46 | $104.5 | +$1.04 | 98% 2299-45 (2344) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.5¢ | $90.96 | — | -$72.36 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $61.52 | $53.86 | -$7.67 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $35.67 | $52.7 | +$17.03 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $50.36 | $93.62 | +$43.26 | 48% 1191-1298 (2489) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 48.2¢ | $30.61 | $48 | +$17.39 | 46% 1298-1506 (2804) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $52.3 | — | -$45.71 | 47% 943-1084 (2027) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 78.3¢ | $44.03 | $38.27 | -$4.91 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 41.3¢ | $22 | $35 | +$17.95 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.6¢ | $25.38 | — | -$25.38 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $18.46 | $38.46 | +$20 | 50% 450-448 (898) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.2¢ | $22.84 | $17 | -$5.84 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $14 | — | -$14 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $5.32 | — | -$5.32 | 63% 1587-944 (2531) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $3.6 | $15.65 | +$12.05 | 44% 1316-1666 (2982) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $1.1 | $5.24 | +$4.14 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$46.49
Record
65%
111-60 (171)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$503.47
Value
$493.45
PnL
-$2.3
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Both legs:
Invested
$175.31
Value
$123.21
PnL
-$37.85
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
Invested
$125.22
Value
$122.86
PnL
-$2.35
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$103.46
Value
$104.5
PnL
+$1.04
Record
98%
2299-45 (2344)
Invested
$90.96
Value
—
PnL
-$72.36
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
Invested
$61.52
Value
$53.86
PnL
-$7.67
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Invested
$35.67
Value
$52.7
PnL
+$17.03
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
Invested
$50.36
Value
$93.62
PnL
+$43.26
Record
48%
1191-1298 (2489)
Invested
$30.61
Value
$48
PnL
+$17.39
Record
46%
1298-1506 (2804)
Invested
$52.3
Value
—
PnL
-$45.71
Record
47%
943-1084 (2027)
Invested
$44.03
Value
$38.27
PnL
-$4.91
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$22
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.95
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
Invested
$25.38
Value
—
PnL
-$25.38
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
Invested
$18.46
Value
$38.46
PnL
+$20
Record
50%
450-448 (898)
Invested
$22.84
Value
$17
PnL
-$5.84
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$14
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$5.32
Value
—
PnL
-$5.32
Record
63%
1587-944 (2531)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
$15.65
PnL
+$12.05
Record
44%
1316-1666 (2982)
Invested
$1.1
Value
$5.24
PnL
+$4.14
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $123.21
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $122.86
hoodquant
Up — $104.5
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
Up — $53.86
soswald1
Up — $52.7
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $93.62