Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$-2.0K

Smart Money Signal

11 of 22 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,766

Combined PnL$-2.1K

Down11 traders

Total Value$653.15

Total Shares653

Combined PnL+$46.37

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.5K	65% 111-60 (171)
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.8¢	$503.9	$490	-$7.8	56% 2372-1839 (4211)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$246.1
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$253.9	—	-$253.9
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 76.7¢	$210.46	$193.99	-$16.46	50% 1859-1828 (3687)
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 99¢	$196.46	$176.63	-$19.83	58% 4568-3363 (7931)
wowitsamazing	Downavg 42.1¢	$49.64	$118	+$68.36	45% 109-133 (242)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 79.7¢	$80.93	$78.97	-$1.96	51% 2178-2103 (4281)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$10.02	—	-$10.02	49% 903-945 (1848)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 26.3¢	$41.64	—	-$41.64	53% 1399-1261 (2660)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Upavg 60¢	$30	—	-$30	53% 649-572 (1221)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 85¢	$17	$20	+$3	39% 852-1352 (2204)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 70.9¢	$14.92	$21.03	+$6.11	60% 2431-1634 (4065)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$12.09	—	-$12.09	48% 2223-2408 (4631)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 85¢	$11.42	$13.44	+$2.02	46% 1298-1506 (2804)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 61¢	$9.15	—	-$9.15	54% 1603-1367 (2970)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 95¢	$9.74	$9.09	-$0.4	62% 2642-1602 (4244)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 64¢	$9.6	$15	+$5.4	48% 1314-1432 (2746)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$5.94	$6	+$0.06	48% 1515-1649 (3164)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$5.11	—	-$5.11	50% 450-448 (898)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 7.4¢	$1.44	—	-$1.44	52% 1755-1602 (3357)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 92¢	$0.92	$1	+$0.08	33% 663-1321 (1984)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 5¢	$0.3	—	-$0.3	38% 657-1093 (1750)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 6.7¢	$4.19	—	-$4.19	52% 4097-3832 (7929)