Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 41%
1 arb excluded
$2.9K
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 22 top traders (41%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$0.39 | 65% 111-60 (171) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$732.08 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $495 | -$1.45 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.5 | $495 | +$248.55 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 98.4¢ | $357.63 | $363.62 | +$5.99 | 58% 4568-3363 (7931) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 40.8¢ | $218.26 | — | -$218.26 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 61.2¢ | $87.77 | $65.25 | -$11.27 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.8¢ | $28.16 | — | -$27.69 | 47% 943-1084 (2027) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $26.62 | $33.07 | +$6.45 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.8¢ | $13.62 | — | -$13.62 | 46% 1298-1506 (2804) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.9¢ | $17.15 | $16.43 | +$0.45 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 75.1¢ | $18.83 | $20.5 | +$1.67 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $12.56 | $12 | -$0.56 | 63% 1587-944 (2531) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.2¢ | $18.73 | — | -$18.73 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $5.2 | — | -$5.2 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $4.85 | $4 | +$0.06 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 74% 1071-381 (1452) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $0.82 | — | -$0.82 | 50% 450-448 (898) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.42 | — | -$0.42 | 38% 657-1093 (1750) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 39% 852-1352 (2204) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $7.8 | — | -$7.8 | 48% 1314-1432 (2746) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$0.39
Record
65%
111-60 (171)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$732.08
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
$495
PnL
-$1.45
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Both legs:
Invested
$357.63
Value
$363.62
PnL
+$5.99
Record
58%
4568-3363 (7931)
Invested
$218.26
Value
—
PnL
-$218.26
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
Invested
$87.77
Value
$65.25
PnL
-$11.27
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$28.16
Value
—
PnL
-$27.69
Record
47%
943-1084 (2027)
Invested
$26.62
Value
$33.07
PnL
+$6.45
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$13.62
Value
—
PnL
-$13.62
Record
46%
1298-1506 (2804)
Invested
$17.15
Value
$16.43
PnL
+$0.45
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$18.83
Value
$20.5
PnL
+$1.67
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Invested
$12.56
Value
$12
PnL
-$0.56
Record
63%
1587-944 (2531)
Invested
$18.73
Value
—
PnL
-$18.73
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
Invested
$5.2
Value
—
PnL
-$5.2
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$4
PnL
+$0.06
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
74%
1071-381 (1452)
Invested
$0.82
Value
—
PnL
-$0.82
Record
50%
450-448 (898)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
Invested
$0.42
Value
—
PnL
-$0.42
Record
38%
657-1093 (1750)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
39%
852-1352 (2204)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.8
Value
—
PnL
-$7.8
Record
48%
1314-1432 (2746)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Hcrystallash
Up — $363.62
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $65.25
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $33.07
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0