Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 64%
$3.6K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 22 top traders (64%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | -$3.16 | 65% 111-60 (171) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 54.7¢ | $920.58 | — | -$920.58 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $757.15 | $727.45 | +$35.06 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $517.63 | $505 | +$2.1 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $247.6 | $250.1 | +$2.5 | 98% 2299-45 (2344) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 42.1¢ | $150.43 | — | -$150.43 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $90 | $90 | -$0 | 53% 314-279 (593) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $79.8 | $82.85 | +$3.6 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93.2¢ | $39.3 | $42.16 | +$2.86 | 39% 852-1352 (2204) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $43.01 | $37.12 | -$5.89 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 43.2¢ | $12.97 | $30 | +$17.03 | 48% 1314-1432 (2746) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.2¢ | $39.06 | — | -$39.06 | 47% 943-1084 (2027) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $13.85 | $20 | +$6.15 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 46.2¢ | $25.27 | $7.35 | +$5.23 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.5¢ | $16.37 | — | -$9.92 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $3.45 | $5.07 | +$1.62 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4 | $4.17 | +$0.17 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $16.5 | — | -$16.5 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.3¢ | $71.02 | — | -$71.02 | 47% 1625-1826 (3451) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 48% 1191-1298 (2489) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 880-1457 (2337) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$3.16
Record
65%
111-60 (171)
Invested
$920.58
Value
—
PnL
-$920.58
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
Invested
$757.15
Value
$727.45
PnL
+$35.06
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
Invested
$517.63
Value
$505
PnL
+$2.1
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$247.6
Value
$250.1
PnL
+$2.5
Record
98%
2299-45 (2344)
Invested
$150.43
Value
—
PnL
-$150.43
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
-$0
Record
53%
314-279 (593)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$79.8
Value
$82.85
PnL
+$3.6
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$39.3
Value
$42.16
PnL
+$2.86
Record
39%
852-1352 (2204)
Invested
$43.01
Value
$37.12
PnL
-$5.89
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
ohioism<$100Invested
$12.97
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.03
Record
48%
1314-1432 (2746)
Invested
$39.06
Value
—
PnL
-$39.06
Record
47%
943-1084 (2027)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.85
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.15
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
Invested
$25.27
Value
$7.35
PnL
+$5.23
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Invested
$16.37
Value
—
PnL
-$9.92
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
Invested
$3.45
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$1.62
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
Invested
$4
Value
$4.17
PnL
+$0.17
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$16.5
Value
—
PnL
-$16.5
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$71.02
Value
—
PnL
-$71.02
Record
47%
1625-1826 (3451)
Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
48%
1191-1298 (2489)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
880-1457 (2337)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.3K
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $727.45
ByteBadger92
Down — $505
QuantumPebble673
Down — $500
hoodquant
Down — $250.1
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
Down — $90
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $82.85
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $42.16