Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 58%
2 arb excluded
$3.8K
-$141.57
Smart Money Signal
15 of 26 top traders (58%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$1.85 | 64% 95-53 (148) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $450 | $357.59 | -$14.68 | 51% 2130-2057 (4187) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $178.8 | $357.59 | +$207.57 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $215 | — | -$222.25 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $356.31 | $346.64 | -$9.66 | 51% 1806-1756 (3562) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 73.5¢ | $254.94 | $346.64 | +$91.7 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 24¢ | $101.37 | — | -$101.37 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $307.74 | $311.01 | +$3.27 | 98% 2252-45 (2297) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 99¢ | $154.44 | $156 | +$1.56 | 58% 4542-3345 (7887) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 76.2¢ | $65.86 | $58.9 | -$6.96 | 54% 1563-1340 (2903) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.4¢ | $76.94 | $60.42 | +$4.08 | 60% 2389-1604 (3993) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 79.1¢ | $27.7 | $35.03 | +$7.33 | 52% 4060-3799 (7859) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 73.3¢ | $138.46 | $30 | +$15.89 | 53% 1367-1231 (2598) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 58.6¢ | $26.15 | $25.59 | -$0.56 | 47% 926-1058 (1984) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $22.44 | $19 | -$3.44 | 66% 2224-1129 (3353) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 63.2¢ | $20.54 | $32.52 | +$11.98 | 47% 1583-1774 (3357) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $17.84 | $30.75 | +$12.92 | 74% 1049-366 (1415) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 74.7¢ | $12.45 | $15 | +$2.55 | 52% 1724-1588 (3312) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $14.91 | $9 | -$1.56 | 62% 2576-1569 (4145) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $12.16 | — | -$12.16 | 53% 634-559 (1193) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 48% 1485-1609 (3094) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $15.04 | — | -$15.04 | 47% 1321-1484 (2805) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 44% 1290-1624 (2914) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 46% 1269-1467 (2736) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 63% 1554-926 (2480) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 12.8¢ | $147.78 | — | -$147.78 | 51% 1347-1269 (2616) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.7¢ | $3.61 | — | -$3.61 | 39% 828-1318 (2146) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$1.85
Record
64%
95-53 (148)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$450
Value
$357.59
PnL
-$14.68
Record
51%
2130-2057 (4187)
Both legs:
Invested
$356.31
Value
$346.64
PnL
-$9.66
Record
51%
1806-1756 (3562)
Both legs:
Invested
$307.74
Value
$311.01
PnL
+$3.27
Record
98%
2252-45 (2297)
Invested
$154.44
Value
$156
PnL
+$1.56
Record
58%
4542-3345 (7887)
Invested
$65.86
Value
$58.9
PnL
-$6.96
Record
54%
1563-1340 (2903)
Invested
$76.94
Value
$60.42
PnL
+$4.08
Record
60%
2389-1604 (3993)
Invested
$27.7
Value
$35.03
PnL
+$7.33
Record
52%
4060-3799 (7859)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$138.46
Value
$30
PnL
+$15.89
Record
53%
1367-1231 (2598)
Invested
$26.15
Value
$25.59
PnL
-$0.56
Record
47%
926-1058 (1984)
Invested
$22.44
Value
$19
PnL
-$3.44
Record
66%
2224-1129 (3353)
Invested
$20.54
Value
$32.52
PnL
+$11.98
Record
47%
1583-1774 (3357)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$17.84
Value
$30.75
PnL
+$12.92
Record
74%
1049-366 (1415)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.45
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.55
Record
52%
1724-1588 (3312)
Invested
$14.91
Value
$9
PnL
-$1.56
Record
62%
2576-1569 (4145)
Invested
$12.16
Value
—
PnL
-$12.16
Record
53%
634-559 (1193)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
48%
1485-1609 (3094)
Invested
$15.04
Value
—
PnL
-$15.04
Record
47%
1321-1484 (2805)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
44%
1290-1624 (2914)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
46%
1269-1467 (2736)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
63%
1554-926 (2480)
Invested
$147.78
Value
—
PnL
-$147.78
Record
51%
1347-1269 (2616)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.61
Value
—
PnL
-$3.61
Record
39%
828-1318 (2146)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.3K
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $311.01
Hcrystallash
Up — $156
ply-pm2
Up — $58.9
aaa221
Up — $60.42
blue.birds
Up — $35.03