Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$964.07

Combined PnL

$-2.7K

Smart Money Signal

16 of 25 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed16 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up16 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,188

Combined PnL$-2.8K

Down9 traders

Total Value$568.01

Total Shares568

Combined PnL+$34.1

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.2K	64% 95-53 (148)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2370-1839 (4209)
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$450	$396.06	-$20.18	51% 2130-2057 (4187)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$198.03	$396.06	+$198.07
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$217.5	—	-$218.25
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 59.6¢	$263.63	$223.03	-$36.25	51% 1806-1756 (3562)
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$162.9	$163.04	+$0.14	49% 883-924 (1807)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 56.3¢	$53.96	—	-$53.96	53% 1367-1231 (2598)
AA aaa221	Downavg 42¢	$65.77	$112.96	+$47.19	60% 2389-1604 (3993)
AL almachCTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$29.16	—	-$29.16	48% 818-877 (1695)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 73¢	$20.43	$27.97	+$7.54	74% 1049-366 (1415)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 29.8¢	$14.61	—	-$14.61	47% 926-1058 (1984)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 38.2¢	$28.96	—	-$28.96	52% 4060-3799 (7859)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 56¢	$8.78	$13	+$4.22	47% 1321-1484 (2805)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 83.8¢	$9.22	$11	+$1.78	62% 2576-1569 (4145)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$8.1	—	-$8.1	54% 1563-1340 (2903)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 84¢	$8.4	$10	+$1.6	46% 1269-1467 (2736)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 81¢	$9.53	$7	-$2.53	48% 822-890 (1712)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Upavg 45.9¢	$5.49	—	-$5.49	48% 2191-2368 (4559)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Upavg 47.1¢	$5.43	—	-$5.43	53% 634-559 (1193)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$3.96	—	-$3.96	48% 1485-1609 (3094)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 67¢	$3.45	—	-$3.45	66% 2224-1129 (3353)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$3.24	—	-$3.24	38% 650-1081 (1731)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 5¢	$1.38	—	-$1.38	39% 828-1318 (2146)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 38.1¢	$6.15	—	-$6.15	52% 1724-1588 (3312)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 57.9¢	$360.22	—	-$360.22	51% 1347-1269 (2616)