Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
26
Down 60%
$1.3K
$-1.6K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 26 top traders (58%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 95-53 (148) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 45.5¢ | $110.69 | — | -$98.14 | 51% 1806-1756 (3562) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $90 | $90 | +$0 | 53% 312-279 (591) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 38.3¢ | $43.86 | $75.41 | +$35.25 | 51% 2130-2057 (4187) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $35.3 | — | -$35.3 | 46% 1269-1467 (2736) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $38.5 | — | -$38.5 | 74% 1049-366 (1415) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 56.7¢ | $115.74 | — | -$10.43 | 53% 1367-1231 (2598) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 40.2¢ | $24.15 | $33.42 | +$11.59 | 47% 926-1058 (1984) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $6.61 | — | -$6.61 | 52% 4060-3799 (7859) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.3¢ | $21.65 | — | -$21.65 | 54% 1563-1340 (2903) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $44.24 | — | -$44.24 | 44% 1290-1624 (2914) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.46 | $29 | +$16.54 | 47% 1321-1484 (2805) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91.4¢ | $15.63 | $17.1 | +$1.47 | 48% 1485-1609 (3094) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $13.96 | — | -$13.96 | 33% 646-1294 (1940) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 86.7¢ | $27.43 | — | -$27.43 | 39% 828-1318 (2146) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $9.72 | $12 | +$2.28 | 50% 4052-4009 (8061) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $10.2 | $12 | +$1.8 | 48% 818-877 (1695) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 65.7¢ | $10.65 | — | -$10.65 | 48% 1288-1398 (2686) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $6.26 | — | -$6.26 | 66% 2224-1129 (3353) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $5.67 | — | -$5.67 | 63% 1554-926 (2480) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $4.55 | — | -$1.15 | 62% 2576-1569 (4145) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 33.8¢ | $2.09 | $6.19 | +$4.1 | 52% 1724-1588 (3312) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 58% 4542-3345 (7887) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
95-53 (148)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$110.69
Value
—
PnL
-$98.14
Record
51%
1806-1756 (3562)
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
312-279 (591)
Invested
$43.86
Value
$75.41
PnL
+$35.25
Record
51%
2130-2057 (4187)
Invested
$35.3
Value
—
PnL
-$35.3
Record
46%
1269-1467 (2736)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$38.5
Value
—
PnL
-$38.5
Record
74%
1049-366 (1415)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$115.74
Value
—
PnL
-$10.43
Record
53%
1367-1231 (2598)
Invested
$24.15
Value
$33.42
PnL
+$11.59
Record
47%
926-1058 (1984)
Invested
$6.61
Value
—
PnL
-$6.61
Record
52%
4060-3799 (7859)
Invested
$21.65
Value
—
PnL
-$21.65
Record
54%
1563-1340 (2903)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$44.24
Value
—
PnL
-$44.24
Record
44%
1290-1624 (2914)
Invested
$12.46
Value
$29
PnL
+$16.54
Record
47%
1321-1484 (2805)
Invested
$15.63
Value
$17.1
PnL
+$1.47
Record
48%
1485-1609 (3094)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$13.96
Value
—
PnL
-$13.96
Record
33%
646-1294 (1940)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$27.43
Value
—
PnL
-$27.43
Record
39%
828-1318 (2146)
Invested
$9.72
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.28
Record
50%
4052-4009 (8061)
Invested
$10.2
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.8
Record
48%
818-877 (1695)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$10.65
Value
—
PnL
-$10.65
Record
48%
1288-1398 (2686)
Invested
$6.26
Value
—
PnL
-$6.26
Record
66%
2224-1129 (3353)
Invested
$5.67
Value
—
PnL
-$5.67
Record
63%
1554-926 (2480)
Invested
$4.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
62%
2576-1569 (4145)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.09
Value
$6.19
PnL
+$4.1
Record
52%
1724-1588 (3312)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
58%
4542-3345 (7887)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
Up — $90
soswald1
Up — $75.41
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
BoneOhio
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
rabadabadoo
Up — $33.42