Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
22
Down 36%
$1.9K
$-2.5K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 22 top traders (36%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 64% 95-53 (148) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.1¢ | $680.43 | $693.89 | +$13.46 | 98% 2252-45 (2297) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $450 | $450 | +$6.4 | 51% 2130-2057 (4187) |
SU suntori | Upavg 39.9¢ | $112.14 | $280.9 | +$168.76 | 47% 1583-1774 (3357) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 90.6¢ | $208.91 | $195.06 | -$13.85 | 51% 1806-1756 (3562) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $64.15 | $62.22 | -$1.93 | 58% 4542-3345 (7887) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 76.8¢ | $66 | $60 | -$6 | 54% 1563-1340 (2903) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 92.2¢ | $33.19 | $36 | +$2.81 | 39% 828-1318 (2146) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 95.9¢ | $32.6 | $34 | +$1.4 | 33% 646-1294 (1940) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81.3¢ | $42.5 | $23.92 | -$15.58 | 60% 2389-1604 (3993) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $22.35 | — | -$22.35 | 47% 1321-1484 (2805) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $10.89 | $11 | +$0.11 | 48% 1485-1609 (3094) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 92.5¢ | $9.35 | $10.1 | +$0.75 | 66% 2224-1129 (3353) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $13.05 | $5.9 | +$1.78 | 62% 2576-1569 (4145) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $38 | $5 | +$5.05 | 53% 1367-1231 (2598) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.2¢ | $14.41 | — | -$14.41 | 49% 883-924 (1807) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $1.95 | $5 | +$3.05 | 46% 1269-1467 (2736) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 22¢ | $250.05 | — | -$250.05 | 51% 1347-1269 (2616) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.6¢ | $3.68 | — | -$3.68 | 52% 4060-3799 (7859) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.2¢ | $13.25 | — | -$13.25 | 44% 1290-1624 (2914) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
64%
95-53 (148)
Invested
$680.43
Value
$693.89
PnL
+$13.46
Record
98%
2252-45 (2297)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$450
Value
$450
PnL
+$6.4
Record
51%
2130-2057 (4187)
Invested
$112.14
Value
$280.9
PnL
+$168.76
Record
47%
1583-1774 (3357)
Invested
$208.91
Value
$195.06
PnL
-$13.85
Record
51%
1806-1756 (3562)
Invested
$64.15
Value
$62.22
PnL
-$1.93
Record
58%
4542-3345 (7887)
Invested
$66
Value
$60
PnL
-$6
Record
54%
1563-1340 (2903)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$33.19
Value
$36
PnL
+$2.81
Record
39%
828-1318 (2146)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$32.6
Value
$34
PnL
+$1.4
Record
33%
646-1294 (1940)
Invested
$42.5
Value
$23.92
PnL
-$15.58
Record
60%
2389-1604 (3993)
Invested
$22.35
Value
—
PnL
-$22.35
Record
47%
1321-1484 (2805)
Invested
$10.89
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.11
Record
48%
1485-1609 (3094)
Invested
$9.35
Value
$10.1
PnL
+$0.75
Record
66%
2224-1129 (3353)
Invested
$13.05
Value
$5.9
PnL
+$1.78
Record
62%
2576-1569 (4145)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$38
Value
$5
PnL
+$5.05
Record
53%
1367-1231 (2598)
Invested
$14.41
Value
—
PnL
-$14.41
Record
49%
883-924 (1807)
Invested
$1.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.05
Record
46%
1269-1467 (2736)
Invested
$250.05
Value
—
PnL
-$250.05
Record
51%
1347-1269 (2616)
Invested
$3.68
Value
—
PnL
-$3.68
Record
52%
4060-3799 (7859)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$13.25
Value
—
PnL
-$13.25
Record
44%
1290-1624 (2914)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $693.89
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $450
suntori
Up — $280.9
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $195.06
Hcrystallash
Up — $62.22
ply-pm2
Up — $60
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $36