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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Up 55%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.8K

Combined PnL

-$70.58

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 20 top traders (55%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders
Total Value$1.7K
Total Shares1,697
Combined PnL+$12.37
Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares379
Combined PnL-$82.95
Up β€” 55%Down β€” 45%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$5.54

Record

64%

95-53 (148)

QU
QuantumPebble673ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

β€”

Both legs:

Up$25050Β’+$250
Down$25050Β’-$250
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

Both legs:

Up$25050Β’+$250
Down$25050Β’-$250
DE
devonpollARB<$100
Down

Invested

$90

Value

$90

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

312-279 (591)

Both legs:

Up$4550Β’+$45
Down$4550Β’-$45
HC
Hcrystallash<$100
Up

Invested

$52.87

Value

$53.4

PnL

+$0.53

Record

58%

4542-3345 (7887)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$44.26

Value

$50.21

PnL

+$5.95

Record

52%

4060-3799 (7859)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$40.45

Value

$47.58

PnL

+$8.07

Record

60%

2389-1604 (3993)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$50.82

Value

$39

PnL

-$11.82

Record

51%

1806-1756 (3562)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$42.9

Value

$45

PnL

+$2.1

Record

54%

1563-1340 (2903)

PB
PBot-5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.5

Value

β€”

PnL

-$23.5

Record

48%

748-800 (1548)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$16.89

Value

$14.55

PnL

-$2.28

Record

66%

2224-1129 (3353)

SU
suntori<$100
Up

Invested

$11.2

Value

$13.56

PnL

+$2.36

Record

47%

1583-1774 (3357)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.1

Value

β€”

PnL

-$13.1

Record

46%

1269-1467 (2736)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$95.73

Value

β€”

PnL

+$6.49

Record

53%

1367-1231 (2598)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$6.23

Value

$7.08

PnL

+$0.85

Record

62%

2576-1569 (4145)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$5.89

Value

$5.3

PnL

-$0.59

Record

47%

926-1058 (1984)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$15.31

Value

β€”

PnL

-$11.86

Record

47%

1321-1484 (2805)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$3.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.65

Record

51%

2130-2057 (4187)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.85

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.85

Record

52%

1724-1588 (3312)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.87

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.87

Record

39%

828-1318 (2146)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.15

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.15

Record

33%

646-1294 (1940)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30

Value

β€”

PnL

-$30

Record

51%

1347-1269 (2616)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.1

Value

β€”

PnL

-$8.1

Record

48%

1288-1398 (2686)