Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 62%
$2.5K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
18 of 29 top traders (62%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$4.11 | 64% 95-53 (148) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $450 | $435 | +$30.87 | 51% 2130-2057 (4187) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 65.9¢ | $203.75 | $218.82 | +$15.07 | 52% 4060-3799 (7859) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $90 | — | -$90 | 53% 312-279 (591) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 42.7¢ | $47.14 | $79 | +$31.86 | 47% 1321-1484 (2805) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 92.3¢ | $66.42 | $71.95 | +$5.53 | 47% 912-1024 (1936) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97.8¢ | $64.29 | $65.7 | +$1.41 | 98% 2252-45 (2297) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 59.5¢ | $50.75 | $60 | +$9.25 | 51% 1806-1756 (3562) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $29.8 | $60 | +$30.2 | 48% 748-800 (1548) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $45.91 | $52.62 | +$6.71 | 48% 1485-1609 (3094) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 43.4¢ | $28.94 | $37.5 | +$8.56 | 48% 1288-1398 (2686) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 63.9¢ | $82.79 | $37.43 | +$13.51 | 53% 1367-1231 (2598) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 51.8¢ | $24.17 | $30 | +$8.78 | 44% 1290-1624 (2914) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 49.2¢ | $22.36 | $23.45 | +$3.53 | 47% 926-1058 (1984) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $18.77 | $18.46 | -$0.27 | 66% 2224-1129 (3353) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 72.2¢ | $11.05 | $15.3 | +$4.25 | 63% 1554-926 (2480) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $11.7 | $15 | +$3.3 | 52% 1724-1588 (3312) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 60.2¢ | $18.93 | $13.29 | +$10.61 | 62% 2576-1569 (4145) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $9.7 | $10 | +$0.3 | 46% 1269-1467 (2736) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.6¢ | $8.16 | — | -$8.16 | 58% 4542-3345 (7887) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $19.11 | — | -$19.11 | 48% 1171-1273 (2444) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.9¢ | $57.28 | — | -$6.78 | 54% 1563-1340 (2903) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.6¢ | $28.03 | — | -$28.03 | 47% 1583-1774 (3357) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$4.11
Record
64%
95-53 (148)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$450
Value
$435
PnL
+$30.87
Record
51%
2130-2057 (4187)
Invested
$203.75
Value
$218.82
PnL
+$15.07
Record
52%
4060-3799 (7859)
Invested
$90
Value
—
PnL
-$90
Record
53%
312-279 (591)
Invested
$47.14
Value
$79
PnL
+$31.86
Record
47%
1321-1484 (2805)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$66.42
Value
$71.95
PnL
+$5.53
Record
47%
912-1024 (1936)
Invested
$64.29
Value
$65.7
PnL
+$1.41
Record
98%
2252-45 (2297)
Invested
$50.75
Value
$60
PnL
+$9.25
Record
51%
1806-1756 (3562)
Invested
$29.8
Value
$60
PnL
+$30.2
Record
48%
748-800 (1548)
Invested
$45.91
Value
$52.62
PnL
+$6.71
Record
48%
1485-1609 (3094)
ohioism<$100Invested
$28.94
Value
$37.5
PnL
+$8.56
Record
48%
1288-1398 (2686)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$82.79
Value
$37.43
PnL
+$13.51
Record
53%
1367-1231 (2598)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$24.17
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.78
Record
44%
1290-1624 (2914)
Invested
$22.36
Value
$23.45
PnL
+$3.53
Record
47%
926-1058 (1984)
Invested
$18.77
Value
$18.46
PnL
-$0.27
Record
66%
2224-1129 (3353)
Invested
$11.05
Value
$15.3
PnL
+$4.25
Record
63%
1554-926 (2480)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.3
Record
52%
1724-1588 (3312)
Invested
$18.93
Value
$13.29
PnL
+$10.61
Record
62%
2576-1569 (4145)
Invested
$9.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.3
Record
46%
1269-1467 (2736)
Invested
$8.16
Value
—
PnL
-$8.16
Record
58%
4542-3345 (7887)
Invested
$19.11
Value
—
PnL
-$19.11
Record
48%
1171-1273 (2444)
Invested
$57.28
Value
—
PnL
-$6.78
Record
54%
1563-1340 (2903)
Invested
$28.03
Value
—
PnL
-$28.03
Record
47%
1583-1774 (3357)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.3K
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $435
blue.birds
Down — $218.82
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $79
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $71.95
hoodquant
Down — $65.7
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $60