Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 67%
$2.7K
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$1.01 | 63% 78-45 (123) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $450 | $411.61 | +$3.78 | 51% 2068-2013 (4081) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 64¢ | $223.5 | $249.31 | +$25.81 | 51% 1741-1694 (3435) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 71.2¢ | $152.52 | $198 | +$45.48 | 52% 1296-1214 (2510) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $183.15 | $185 | +$1.85 | 98% 2209-44 (2253) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 78.1¢ | $102.05 | $110.32 | +$12.77 | 52% 4022-3759 (7781) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.8¢ | $40.96 | — | -$40.96 | 48% 1139-1229 (2368) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.3¢ | $44.15 | — | -$35.65 | 53% 1336-1195 (2531) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 66.5¢ | $35.5 | $45.23 | +$9.73 | 47% 1280-1435 (2715) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $31.2 | $30.52 | -$0.32 | 48% 1442-1566 (3008) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $33.23 | $28.48 | -$3.2 | 48% 1250-1346 (2596) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95.1¢ | $26.81 | $23.13 | -$3.68 | 63% 1521-902 (2423) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $26.35 | $15.17 | -$11.18 | 44% 1249-1571 (2820) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $13.8 | $15.33 | +$1.53 | 74% 1022-354 (1376) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.8¢ | $14.79 | — | -$14.79 | 47% 908-1031 (1939) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 20.4¢ | $13.55 | — | -$13.55 | 54% 1521-1314 (2835) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $28.41 | $14 | -$6.48 | 46% 1227-1428 (2655) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $12.37 | $10.18 | -$0.65 | 62% 2512-1527 (4039) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $17.18 | $9.15 | -$4.31 | 39% 807-1277 (2084) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $5.92 | $10 | +$4.08 | 60% 2327-1560 (3887) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 44.4¢ | $5.33 | $12 | +$6.67 | 49% 727-769 (1496) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 52% 1676-1557 (3233) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 38% 633-1050 (1683) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$1.01
Record
63%
78-45 (123)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$450
Value
$411.61
PnL
+$3.78
Record
51%
2068-2013 (4081)
Invested
$223.5
Value
$249.31
PnL
+$25.81
Record
51%
1741-1694 (3435)
Invested
$152.52
Value
$198
PnL
+$45.48
Record
52%
1296-1214 (2510)
Invested
$183.15
Value
$185
PnL
+$1.85
Record
98%
2209-44 (2253)
Invested
$102.05
Value
$110.32
PnL
+$12.77
Record
52%
4022-3759 (7781)
Invested
$40.96
Value
—
PnL
-$40.96
Record
48%
1139-1229 (2368)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$44.15
Value
—
PnL
-$35.65
Record
53%
1336-1195 (2531)
Invested
$35.5
Value
$45.23
PnL
+$9.73
Record
47%
1280-1435 (2715)
Invested
$31.2
Value
$30.52
PnL
-$0.32
Record
48%
1442-1566 (3008)
ohioism<$100Invested
$33.23
Value
$28.48
PnL
-$3.2
Record
48%
1250-1346 (2596)
Invested
$26.81
Value
$23.13
PnL
-$3.68
Record
63%
1521-902 (2423)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$26.35
Value
$15.17
PnL
-$11.18
Record
44%
1249-1571 (2820)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.8
Value
$15.33
PnL
+$1.53
Record
74%
1022-354 (1376)
Invested
$14.79
Value
—
PnL
-$14.79
Record
47%
908-1031 (1939)
Invested
$13.55
Value
—
PnL
-$13.55
Record
54%
1521-1314 (2835)
Invested
$28.41
Value
$14
PnL
-$6.48
Record
46%
1227-1428 (2655)
Invested
$12.37
Value
$10.18
PnL
-$0.65
Record
62%
2512-1527 (4039)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$17.18
Value
$9.15
PnL
-$4.31
Record
39%
807-1277 (2084)
Invested
$5.92
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.08
Record
60%
2327-1560 (3887)
Invested
$5.33
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.67
Record
49%
727-769 (1496)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
52%
1676-1557 (3233)
Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
38%
633-1050 (1683)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.3K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $411.61
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $249.31
uninformedfloww
Down — $198
hoodquant
Down — $185
blue.birds
Down — $110.32
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0