Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 24 top traders (50%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares2,127

Combined PnL+$31.17

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,807

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$3.24	63% 78-45 (123)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2370-1839 (4209)
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 99¢	$287.69	$290.6	+$2.91	58% 4516-3334 (7850)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 41.6¢	$328.78	—	-$324.03	52% 1296-1214 (2510)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98¢	$164.64	$168	+$3.36	98% 2209-44 (2253)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 98¢	$123.33	$112	-$11.33	48% 1139-1229 (2368)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 39.5¢	$77.41	—	-$56.48	53% 1336-1195 (2531)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 64¢	$39.5	$50	+$10.5	52% 4022-3759 (7781)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 19.3¢	$50.83	—	-$50.83	51% 1741-1694 (3435)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 88.1¢	$31.22	$32.21	+$1.99	62% 2512-1527 (4039)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 58.6¢	$28	$34.36	+$6.36	54% 1521-1314 (2835)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 48¢	$10.08	$21	+$10.92	47% 1280-1435 (2715)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 39¢	$17.61	—	-$17.61	47% 908-1031 (1939)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 61¢	$21.65	—	-$21.46	48% 1250-1346 (2596)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 56.4¢	$12.8	$13.12	+$0.32	67% 2180-1089 (3269)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 75¢	$10.61	$9.81	-$0.8	51% 2068-2013 (4081)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 76¢	$9.12	$12	+$2.88	60% 2327-1560 (3887)
SU suntori<$100	Downavg 90¢	$7.47	$8.3	+$0.83	47% 1547-1731 (3278)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.54	—	-$1.54	48% 1442-1566 (3008)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.44	—	-$1.44	39% 807-1277 (2084)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$0.55	—	-$0.55	52% 1676-1557 (3233)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$14.8	—	-$14.8	46% 1227-1428 (2655)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$10.4	—	-$10.4	44% 1249-1571 (2820)