Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
26
Down 68%
$1.1K
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 26 top traders (65%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 63% 62-37 (99) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $450 | — | -$372.83 | — |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $90.04 | — | -$85.24 | 52% 274-257 (531) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $56.17 | $58.27 | +$2.1 | 51% 1663-1626 (3289) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $20.46 | $18 | -$2.32 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.5¢ | $14.95 | $17.48 | +$2.53 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $12.6 | $15 | +$2.4 | 52% 3991-3735 (7726) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $11.32 | $18.25 | +$6.94 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $9.31 | $15.01 | +$5.7 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $9.72 | — | -$9.72 | 47% 891-1000 (1891) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $5.16 | — | -$5.16 | 57% 4495-3324 (7819) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.2¢ | $4.15 | — | -$4.15 | 44% 1205-1516 (2721) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 38.2¢ | $132.59 | — | -$132.59 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 49% 1222-1296 (2518) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.7¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 39% 786-1234 (2020) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | 33% 613-1228 (1841) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.4¢ | $4.55 | — | -$4.55 | 52% 1537-1447 (2984) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $0.75 | — | -$0.75 | 48% 1106-1197 (2303) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 46% 1190-1388 (2578) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 47% 1241-1387 (2628) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 47% 1384-1531 (2915) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 74% 984-344 (1328) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 62% 1464-882 (2346) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
63%
62-37 (99)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$450
Value
—
PnL
-$372.83
Record
—
Invested
$90.04
Value
—
PnL
-$85.24
Record
52%
274-257 (531)
Invested
$56.17
Value
$58.27
PnL
+$2.1
Record
51%
1663-1626 (3289)
Invested
$20.46
Value
$18
PnL
-$2.32
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
Invested
$14.95
Value
$17.48
PnL
+$2.53
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
Invested
$12.6
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.4
Record
52%
3991-3735 (7726)
Invested
$11.32
Value
$18.25
PnL
+$6.94
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
Invested
$9.31
Value
$15.01
PnL
+$5.7
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
Invested
$9.72
Value
—
PnL
-$9.72
Record
47%
891-1000 (1891)
Invested
$5.16
Value
—
PnL
-$5.16
Record
57%
4495-3324 (7819)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.15
Value
—
PnL
-$4.15
Record
44%
1205-1516 (2721)
Invested
$132.59
Value
—
PnL
-$132.59
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
49%
1222-1296 (2518)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
39%
786-1234 (2020)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
33%
613-1228 (1841)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.55
Value
—
PnL
-$4.55
Record
52%
1537-1447 (2984)
Invested
$0.75
Value
—
PnL
-$0.75
Record
48%
1106-1197 (2303)
Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
46%
1190-1388 (2578)
Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
47%
1241-1387 (2628)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
47%
1384-1531 (2915)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
74%
984-344 (1328)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
62%
1464-882 (2346)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $58.27
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $18
asdaefef
Up — $17.48
blue.birds
Up — $15
aaa221
Up — $18.25