Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
25
Down 52%
$1.4K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 25 top traders (52%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 63% 62-37 (99) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 85.5¢ | $147.09 | $140.6 | -$6.49 | 51% 1663-1626 (3289) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 85.3¢ | $59.08 | $65 | +$5.92 | 52% 3991-3735 (7726) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 87.3¢ | $224.33 | $57.94 | -$21.7 | 53% 1297-1168 (2465) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 77.6¢ | $33.9 | $32 | -$1.9 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $16 | $20 | +$4 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $14.25 | $15 | +$0.75 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.6¢ | $19.38 | — | -$19.38 | — |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $10.45 | $10 | -$0.3 | 62% 1464-882 (2346) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.1¢ | $10.62 | $12.2 | +$1.58 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $9.82 | $10.02 | +$0.2 | 48% 1106-1197 (2303) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 46% 1190-1388 (2578) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $7.69 | $5.04 | -$2.65 | 47% 891-1000 (1891) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $2.97 | — | -$2.97 | 48% 2099-2308 (4407) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.4¢ | $6.17 | — | -$6.17 | 38% 430-716 (1146) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $3.39 | — | -$3.39 | 39% 786-1234 (2020) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 48% 695-751 (1446) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.8¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 49% 1222-1296 (2518) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 33% 613-1228 (1841) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 44% 1205-1516 (2721) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.4¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 52% 1537-1447 (2984) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $43.61 | — | -$43.61 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 47% 1241-1387 (2628) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
63%
62-37 (99)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$147.09
Value
$140.6
PnL
-$6.49
Record
51%
1663-1626 (3289)
Invested
$59.08
Value
$65
PnL
+$5.92
Record
52%
3991-3735 (7726)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$224.33
Value
$57.94
PnL
-$21.7
Record
53%
1297-1168 (2465)
Invested
$33.9
Value
$32
PnL
-$1.9
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
Invested
$16
Value
$20
PnL
+$4
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
Invested
$14.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.75
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
Invested
$19.38
Value
—
PnL
-$19.38
Record
—
Invested
$10.45
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.3
Record
62%
1464-882 (2346)
Invested
$10.62
Value
$12.2
PnL
+$1.58
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
Invested
$9.82
Value
$10.02
PnL
+$0.2
Record
48%
1106-1197 (2303)
Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
46%
1190-1388 (2578)
Invested
$7.69
Value
$5.04
PnL
-$2.65
Record
47%
891-1000 (1891)
Invested
$2.97
Value
—
PnL
-$2.97
Record
48%
2099-2308 (4407)
Invested
$6.17
Value
—
PnL
-$6.17
Record
38%
430-716 (1146)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.39
Value
—
PnL
-$3.39
Record
39%
786-1234 (2020)
Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
48%
695-751 (1446)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
49%
1222-1296 (2518)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
33%
613-1228 (1841)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
44%
1205-1516 (2721)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
52%
1537-1447 (2984)
Invested
$43.61
Value
—
PnL
-$43.61
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
47%
1241-1387 (2628)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $140.6
blue.birds
Up — $65
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $57.94
ply-pm2
Up — $32
aaa221
Up — $20
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $15
soswald1
CTRDown — $0